"Wei Guo, what you said is wrong!" Lou Xiao'e was the first to say: "I think a person must have real skills!"

"Indeed, if he didn't have real skills, Liu Qi would definitely not be able to succeed!" Ran Qiu also followed.

When Xu Weiguo heard this, he smiled slightly and looked at the others, "Apart from me and Xiaoya, do you all see it this way?"

Du Yue, Wu Lan and the deaf old lady were left all nodded slowly.

Xu Weiguo shook his head, "Have you noticed what I said at the beginning? Liu Qi originally opened a restaurant, but it collapsed later!"

"From beginning to end, Liu Qi's craftsmanship has not changed, but what has changed is that he met the person who appreciates him!"

"So it's not that you have real ability to succeed. In fact, if a bad horse meets Bole, it can become a good horse! It's the same with people. Geniuses can easily succeed, but only if there is such a Bole is there.

A necessary factor! And ability just makes your chances of success greater!"

"Of course, these are my opinions alone and do not represent everyone, let alone the truth!"

"But you can think carefully about whether this is true."

After listening to what Xu Weiguo said, everyone at the scene fell into silence.

At first, they thought there was something wrong with what Xu Weiguo said, but after thinking about it carefully, it seemed that it was true.

"Weiguo, what you said seems to make sense. You really need Bole to succeed!" Lou Xiao'e said.

Others are not as opposed as before.

Xu Weiguo smiled slightly, "Haha, there is a theory called survivor bias!"

"Survivor bias?!"

When they heard this word for the first time, except for Xu Weiguo, everyone else's faces were full of doubts.

"That's right, it's survivor bias!" Xu Weiguo nodded, and then said: "Survivor bias is a principle of natural selection after the survival of the fittest: non-survivors can no longer speak out. People only see those who have gone through some kind of screening.

The results produced without realizing the screening process, thus ignoring the key information that was screened out!"

"Uh... I don't understand very well!" Lou Xiao'e shook her head.

"Weiguo, can you explain it more clearly? Otherwise, I'm afraid no one will understand!" Du Yue also said in confusion.

Xu Weiguo looked at the confused look of everyone in front of him and spoke again, "Then let me tell you a story to explain. In 1941, during the Second World War, a foreign professor named Ward, at the request of the military,

Use his expertise in statistics to provide advice on how aircraft should be better protected to reduce the chance of being shot down by artillery fire.

Professor Ward conducted research on the data of bombers returning to camp after being attacked by coalition bombers and found that the wings are the most vulnerable position to be hit, and the tail is the least hit position. Professor Ward's conclusion is that "we

"The protection of the tail of the aircraft should be strengthened", while the military commander believes that "the protection of the wings should be strengthened, because this is the most vulnerable position to be hit."

"So do you think we should listen to the military and strengthen the protection of the aircraft's wings, or should we follow Professor Ward's conclusion and strengthen the protection of the tail?"

Lou Xiao'e said directly: "Needless to say, of course I listen to the military. After all, they are the ones who really fly the plane, and they know what they need!"

Xu Weiguo smiled lightly and did not express an opinion. Instead, he looked at the others, "What do you think?"

Wu Landao: "Brother, I think Sister Xiao'e is right, we should follow the military's advice!"

"Daughter-in-law, what about you?" Xu Weiguo looked at Du Yue.

Du Yue thought for a while, "I also agree with Sister Xiao'e and Wu Lan's analysis."

"Ran Qiu, are you the same as them?" Xu Weiguo asked with a smile.

Ran Qiu said softly: "Brother Xu, I think we should listen to Professor Ward. Professor Ward is an expert in this field and has conducted specific research and the conclusions he reached are more scientific..."

Xu Weiguo nodded, still not expressing his position, "Xiaoya, what about you?"

Xu Xiaoya scratched her head, "It's like dad giving me advice and me giving myself advice. What dad said must be right, so... I think Professor Ward is right!"

Xu Weiguo touched Xu Xiaoya's head, "Xiaoya, you really believe in daddy!"

Just when Xu Weiguo was about to ask the deaf old lady, the latter took the initiative and said: "I am old, so I won't play with you or express my position on these questions!"

Well, since the deaf old lady doesn’t want to participate, Xu Weiguo can’t force her.

"Everyone expressed their opinions." Xu Weiguo: "Professor Ward insisted that the statistical sample only covers bombers that returned safely; in addition, bombers that were hit on the wings multiple times seemed to be able to return safely; the most important point is that

It’s not that the tail of the aircraft is hard to hit, but

Because the plane whose tail was hit could no longer return, the few planes that returned relied on the same life-saving straw - the tail was still good. In the end, the military adopted Professor Ward's suggestion, and it was later confirmed that the decision was correct.

Invisible bullet marks are the most deadly!"

"This story was summed up in one word by later generations - survivor bias."

"Now everyone understands!"

Lou Xiao'e and others suddenly said, "So that's it!"

Xu Weiguo said again: "Having said that, those who are successful often think that they are successful because of their ability and persistence, but in fact there are many people who are more capable and persistent than them, but they are not good at it, so they are dismissed

Buried!"

"This is why I think what Xiaoya said is right. To succeed, you really need Bole! Of course, you have to give birth to a complete human society. If it goes beyond this area, it will be another issue. That is too much.

It’s so ethereal and far away that it’s not the right time to talk!”

Xu Weiguo also knew that what he said today seemed to be a bit arrogant, so he took the initiative to change the topic, "Let's stop discussing this issue. Next, I will tell you about the last dish!"

This chapter is not over yet, please click on the next page to continue reading!

“This spicy chicken has a lot to say!”

"This is a classic home-cooked dish. It is usually made with whole chicken as the main ingredient, plus onions, dried chilies, Sichuan peppercorns, salt, pepper, MSG and other ingredients. Although it is the same dish, it is made differently in different places.

Characteristics: Spicy chicken has different characteristics due to different preparation methods in different places, and is deeply loved by people from all over the world. The finished dish is brown in color and shiny in color, and has a strong spicy flavor."

“What I’m cooking today is Sichuan Spicy Chicken!”

"Before 1749, there were no chili peppers in Sichuan. So how did spicy chicken appear without spicy food? Let me tell you slowly. During the Qing Dynasty, in 1748, Emperor Qianlong sent Yue Fei's descendant, Yue Zhongqi

Put down the Jinchuan Rebellion. Jinchuan is our current administrative state, with a dangerous terrain and cold weather all year round."

"Soldiers from the capital entered Sichuan and were stationed at Dujiangyan. After entering Sichuan, the soldiers often suffered from soreness and weakness in their limbs and listlessness. Let alone winning the battle, they were lazy in training every day. Yue Zhongqi was invincible in all battles in his life and was praised by Yongzheng as "wisdom and bravery"

"Invincible", but he was retreating steadily in Jinchuan and could not attack for a long time, which made Yue Zhongqi very angry and anxious.

Fortunately, Yue Zhongqi was knowledgeable. After investigation, he found that the climate in Sichuan was too humid, which caused the soldiers to have a lot of moisture and could not be discharged from the body, which was why they felt decadent. Yue Zhongqi knew that eating chili peppers could eliminate moisture from the body, so in order to reverse the situation

, Yue Zhongqi ordered people to transport the peppers from Hunan to the army, so the peppers flowed into Sichuan, and the peppers spread throughout Sichuan and Sichuan!"

"Who can bear to chew chili peppers raw? The military chefs used local materials and used chicken that soldiers often eat as ingredients. They put the chili peppers in and stir-fried them together. The combination of the two was surprisingly delicious. The soldiers

Everyone couldn't stop eating this dish, and at that time chili pepper was called

Spicy chicken, from which all the names of "spicy chicken" come. "Spicy chicken" became famous in the army. In addition to moisture, the soldiers felt refreshed and heroic. They fought bravely on the battlefield and killed all directions. In 1749

In 2007, the Battle of Jinchuan was really won.

In the same year, "Dayi County Chronicle" also began to record peppers. From then on, peppers became an indispensable food on the tables of Sichuan people."

"After the victory, the Qing army returned to Beijing in triumph, but this military chef visited the people and compiled the "Bashu Folk Recipes", which included spicy chicken. Later, the descendants of this chef,

Through continuous improvement and innovation, combined with the taste of modern people, the red pepper in the spicy chicken at that time was replaced with dried pepper, and then added with pepper and other seasonings to make the spicy chicken more distinctive and flavorful, and gradually formed the current spicy chicken

concept."

"It turns out that the peppers in Sichuan and Sichuan were introduced from Hunan! No wonder Hunan people eat peppers better than Sichuan people!" Wu Lan said with emotion: "Although I know about Hunan peppers and Sichuan peppers, I don't know about them yet.

There are stories like this in it, which are very informative!”

"It's so spicy! It's so spicy!" After Lou Xiao'e ate another piece of spicy chicken, she immediately drank water, "No matter who can eat spicy food in Hunan or Sichuan, they can eat spicy food better than us anyway!"

"Haha! That's true!"

Xu Weiguo smiled and nodded, and continued: "There are many ways to make spicy chicken. Today I will just talk about how I make it. After buying the chicken wings, cut them into small pieces. The size depends on your personal preference.

Diligence, but the maximum should not exceed your thumb. After cutting the chicken wings, add cooking wine, onion and ginger, a small amount of salt, chicken essence, MSG, and marinate for more than ten or twenty minutes.

After marinating, pick out the green onion and ginger. Heat the pot and pour in more oil. Add the chicken. Don't move it. Wait until the edges of the chicken turn white and bubble. Use a kettle to gently break it up. Then turn down the heat and slowly

Slowly stir-fry the chicken. During the stir-frying process, you should continue to use the spoon to pull the chicken to prevent the chicken from sticking to the pan. You can also fry it, which is faster. Stir-fry the chicken until the volume of the chicken is significantly reduced, and the skin can be easily removed.

Dry oil.

Pour oil into the pot again, less this time. Add ginger and garlic slices, add chicken, stir-fry a few times, then add Sichuan peppercorns and dried chili peppers, stir-fry quickly and evenly. If it is not spicy, you can add less dried chili peppers.

, you can add two vitex branches, green onion marbles or celery knots, so that it will not be so spicy.

After that, we stir-fry all the ingredients evenly, and they are almost cooked. During the stir-frying, the heat should be high and the action should be fast, so that the pot will be fragrant. The last step is to season, add MSG, chicken essence, and light soy sauce, and taste it.

Once it's boiled, add some light soy sauce, but don't add salt. Finally, before taking it out of the pot, pour in a little sesame oil and rattan pepper oil."

"Okay, I've finished talking about today's five dishes. I should eat, otherwise you will finish them all!"

After saying that, Xu Weiguo mentioned that Kuaizi had joined the eating party!

Soon, all five dishes were eaten, but because the spicy chicken was a bit spicy, even in the middle of winter, everyone was blushing after eating it!

After eating, Xu Weiguo quickly put away his bowl, and the hall was arranged like a classroom!

"You just study at home, I'll go and watch the down jacket making site!"

With that said, Xu Weiguo walked out of the room.
To be continued...