() From the victory of the German blitzkrieg, the whole world has seen the astonishing power of modern mechanical warfare that can change the situation in an instant and determine victory or defeat. However, no other country has had time to adjust the construction, organization, equipment, ideas, tactics, and training of the army to the

Adapted to the mode of modern warfare, if it encounters a blitz attack, it will easily suffer heavy losses. In addition, the Soviet Union's great purge in the late 1930s severely damaged the Soviet army: a large number of experienced senior generals, the backbone of the army, and replacement officers were executed.

The general lack of capabilities and experience severely damaged the combat effectiveness of the Soviet army. In the Soviet-Finnish War, the Soviet Union invested millions of troops and made heavy sacrifices to defeat Finland, a small country with an outnumbered army. This shows how hard the Great Purge dealt a heavy blow to the Soviet army.

3. Strategic situation:

Before the war against the Soviet Union, Germany had organized a strategic alliance against the Soviet Union, including Finland, Hungary, Spain, Romania, Bulgaria, Italy, Turkey and other countries. These countries sent troops to varying degrees to participate in the war against the Soviet Union. From north to south:

The troops deployed on the territory of Finland, German East Prussia, former Poland, Hungary, and Romania formed a crescent-shaped encirclement of the Soviet Union. The multi-channel offensive forces were powerful and the assault forces were concentrated, all directed at key parts of the Soviet Union: the German-Norwegian Army attacked the Arctic Circle.

Murmansk and Arkhangelsk within the territory, intending to cut off the Soviet Union's only northern supply port during the war;

The Finnish Karelia Army and the Southeast Army cooperated with the German Army Group Northern to attack Leningrad, trying to regain the territory lost in the Soviet-Finnish War; the German Army Group Northern passed through the three Baltic countries and captured the holy place of the Soviet October Revolution: Leningrad.

; The German Zhongyang Army Group advanced along the attack axis of Minsk, Smososk, and Moscow, aiming directly at the heart of the Soviet Union; the German Zhongyang Army Group assaulted Kiev, and also seized the abundant food, oil, coal, etc. in Ukraine

The task of strategic resources; the Romanian 3rd and 4th Army Group entered Ukraine in collaboration with the German Army Group South to avenge the Soviet Union's forced cession of land. In contrast to Germany, the Soviet Union was in an extremely isolated situation internationally: it signed a mutual agreement with Germany

The non-aggression treaty also cut off the hope of joining forces with Britain, France and other countries; the consequence of attacking Finland was that the Soviet Union was expelled from the League of Nations; it divided Poland with Germany, forced the three Baltic countries to join the Soviet Union, and issued an ultimatum to force Romania to hand over Bessarabi.

Actions such as Asia and Northern Bukovina further disgraced the Soviet Union in the world and created many powerful enemies.

In addition, the Soviet troops deployed too far forward on the western border and lacked sufficient depth. Once the defense line was quickly broken through by the German army, it was easy to be divided and surrounded. In the early days of the Soviet-German War in history, the Soviet army organized its troops into organized divisions.

Encircled and annihilated, the number of troops lost reached millions.

Based on the above factors, Zhang Jun concluded that the German army did have enough capability to annihilate the vast majority of the Soviet armed forces, occupy three strategic cities in the north, central and south, advance to the front line of the Ural Mountains, and complete the goals set by the "Barbarossa Plan". As long as the German army occupied the Soviet Union

If the elite part of Europe controls important cities, transportation hubs, and develops strategic resources, then only a smaller-scale armed force will be needed to calmly deal with the counterattack of the Asian part of the Soviet Union. Although the remaining Soviet Union after losing the European part is vast,

However, with a sparse population, a backward economy, a lack of materials, and inconvenient transportation, it was impossible to muster enough strength to challenge Germany, which had occupied the elite parts of the Soviet Union and gained even more power.

It is not unreasonable for Hitler to believe that the Soviet territory outside the targets involved in the "Barbarossa Plan" was a barren wasteland and not worth occupying. If the Soviet Union reached that point, it would be the same as defeat. Therefore, Germany did

It is possible to defeat the Soviet Union.

The muddy rainy season and terrible winter in the Soviet Union will also greatly affect the German army's logistical supplies and combat capabilities, which may lead to its inability to complete the "Barbarossa Plan" before the winter of 1941, causing the Soviet-German war to become a long-term war.

If the war was delayed until after 1942, would it still be possible for the German army to defeat the Soviet Union? The answer is: yes! Historically, although Germany was not able to win quickly in 1941, it still achieved a brilliant victory: a large number of Soviet troops were annihilated, and large areas of the Soviet Union

The territory was occupied, and the German army still stayed in the hinterland of the Soviet Union waiting for the next step.

attack. If Germany could continue to annihilate a large number of Soviet troops, causing them to lose a lot of blood without having time to replenish them, continue to occupy Soviet territory and lose the basis for a comeback, and continue to seize Soviet resources to support the war, it could still eliminate the Soviet war strength and deprive the Soviet Union of continued

The potential to continue fighting and achieve victory.

Of course, the Soviet Union will also get the most important breathing time: countless military personnel have joined the army, dozens or hundreds of new divisions have gone to the front, a large number of factories have moved eastward to the Ural Mountains and have begun production, and hundreds of weapons and equipment have gone out of production.

Line? The Soviet Union's war strength gradually expanded, and the quick decisive battle between the Soviet Union and Germany gradually evolved into a long-term confrontation between the two countries' comprehensive strength.

If the Soviet Union wins further on the battlefield, the balance of victory will finally tip to the Soviet Union. Germany's ultimate failure to suppress the Soviet Union's war potential and transform it into war strength will be an important reason for Germany's defeat.

There are also many factors that cannot be ignored. If Germany fails, it will definitely be the combined effect of many reasons, and it will definitely not be one-sidedly determined by just one or two factors.

1. Allied opponents:

Although Germany organized the European Union, controlled most of the European continent, and became a veritable continental empire, it has created too many enemies after all. The Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, South America, Africa, and Asia and many other countries are enemies of Germany. They

Controlling most of the world's population, resources, materials, economic and technological power, especially the United States, a country with strong war potential that will declare war on Germany sooner or later, in

A decisive weight has been added to the Allies' victory against the EU: compared with the EU, the Allies have a 4-fold advantage in manpower, a 3-fold advantage in steel, and an even greater advantage in oil. The powerful enemy also prevents Germany from concentrating all its efforts.

To deal with the Soviet Union, even though a fierce war is about to begin, Germany has maintained a considerable force on the western front of Europe, Norway, and North Africa to prevent possible future attacks.

Germany's investment in the Soviet Union accounted for about 70% of the total army strength, which was far from its full strength. After the Soviet-German war broke out, a comprehensive anti-EU alliance would eventually be formed. The Soviet Union would not only receive military support from countries led by the United States and Britain,

Even if Japan is a long-term enemy, the Soviet Union can sign a Japanese-Soviet non-aggression pact with it, so that it can use its hands to resist the German attack.

This is like Germany tying up one hand and fighting the Soviet Union, which can go all out and take breaks. The disadvantages are very obvious.

2. Association of European Nations:

Although the European Union has been formed, it is actually difficult to integrate all the forces of the European Union. It is common for the European Union in later generations to quarrel over the same issue for several months. How good can the European Union be at this time?

In addition, the combat effectiveness of these European alliance armies is really worrying. For the German Army, they can only be a group of people who come to make soy sauce. For example, Italy did not notify Germany and rashly attacked East Africa, North Africa, Albania, and Greece, with unexpected results.

The army was vulnerable to a single blow and suffered a disastrous defeat. Not only did it destroy the balance of power in the Balkans and Africa that was originally in line with Germany's expectations, but it also forced Germany to send troops to save its disgraced comrades, which indirectly led to the dispersion of troops and the collapse of the "Barbarossa Plan."

Delay.

Hitler helped Franco during the Spanish Civil War. However, when Hitler hoped that Franco would return the favor and implement his "Penix Plan" to occupy the Strait of Gibraltar and strangle Britain's lifeline, the answer he received disappointed him.

It can be seen that Spain also has its own little calculations.

The signing of the Soviet-German non-aggression pact caused the Japanese cabinet to step down collectively. Soon after, Japan returned the favor and signed a non-aggression pact with the Soviet Union, choosing its national policy between "Northern Advance" and "Southern Advance".

The latter. At this time, the situation of Germany and Japan attacking the Soviet Union no longer existed, and Zhang Jun also had to bear a certain responsibility, because Zhang Jun had always opposed the alliance with Japan, and Hitler did not want to hurt his "little carrot head".

, thus rejecting the olive branch offered by Japan.

3. War command:

Although the combat quality of German officers and soldiers is unparalleled, the high-level command of the German army can be said to be full of problems: the German Supreme Command (okw) and the Army General Headquarters (okh) established by Hitler have overlapping responsibilities and overlapping authorities.

Intrigues and struggles for power; Hitler and senior German generals often had disagreements.

Mutual distrust. Hitler was arbitrary, too centralized, did not decentralize power, and overstepped his authority. Not only did he insist on his own way in the overall strategic direction, he even interfered with combat command down to the battalion and company level, and the army was unable to make reasonable decisions based on battlefield conditions. The German commander laughed at himself

Said: "Without the order from the head of state, I would not dare to move the sentry post from the door to the window."

Historically, the German army's major decision-making mistakes in World War II are as follows, to name a few: In the Battle of Moscow, after the German army was defeated, Hitler was determined not to retreat, which directly led to the destruction of a large number of German troops and greatly damaged their vitality. The German army would never return again the following year.

They did not have the strength to launch a comprehensive offensive, so they had to carry out focused attacks. In 1942, the German army attacked the Volga River and the Caucasus region at the same time. As a result, its forces were dispersed and neither strategic goal was achieved. In the Battle of Stalingrad, the German army destroyed entire divisions and regiments.

Elite field troops were thrown into the city's meat grinder, causing a large number of casualties; after the Sixth Army was surrounded, it was not allowed to retreat and was completely wiped out by the Soviet army; the offensive period of the Kursk battle was first delayed and delayed, and turned into a forced attack

Position station instead of blitzkrieg; later, at the most critical moment of the war, several elite SS armored divisions on the southern front were transferred to deal with the Allied landing in Italy, resulting in the loss of the last glimmer of hope for victory in the Battle of the Fortress... (To be completed
Chapter completed!