Chapter 8 Graduation He Rui (8)
There were not many people on campus during the holidays, and most of them were heading towards the library. The neat campus was quiet and peaceful, as if they were asleep. Until He Rui opened the front door of the classroom, he saw that it was already full of people. The atmosphere immediately changed.
Back to normal class.
The front row of the classroom was full of students, and the last two rows were Professor Binh Fengsheng, several young officials from the Ministry of Finance and reporters. There were also a few I didn't recognize, and they must have similar identities.
Because it was the last lesson, there was not much teaching content. After finishing the lesson, He Rui wiped the chalk off his hands and said to everyone: "If you have any questions, you can ask them."
A young student immediately asked: "Excuse me, can we, the Allied Powers, win?"
The Beiyang government chose neutrality at this time and did not join the Allied Powers. Japan was a member of the Allied Powers. Looking at the expectant eyes of the students, He Rui answered calmly: "The industrial scale, industrial population, and industrial strength of the Allied Powers are all far higher than those of the Allied Powers.
.This is what modern wars compete for. No matter how brave and good the German army is, it cannot change the real material conditions. In terms of war will, France will never surrender. On the other hand, Germany must make France surrender in order to explain to the people participating in the war.
.If France does not surrender, the Allies will fight to the end. In this war of attrition that will last for several years, the Allies will inevitably win."
The reporters were recording He Rui's speech bit by bit. Another student asked: "Excuse me, when will the world war end?"
"Probably between mid-2017 and early 2019."
"Excuse me, how will the world situation change after the Allied Powers win?"
"After the war, Britain and France will formulate a world order that is beneficial to them. In order to limit Germany's retaliation, European countries and territories should be divided. Germany will cede land and limit armaments. The Austro-Hungarian Empire will probably be divided..."
"Excuse me, how will the future of the Anglo-Japanese alliance evolve?"
"After the war, the victorious British main opponent will become the United States. After all, the war broke out in Europe, and the United States is outside the battlefield. The benefits earned from the war will be dozens of times that of Japan. In order to respond to the challenge of the United States, the United Kingdom
We must try our best to gather all the interests in our hands. The future relationship between Britain and Japan will obey the strategic needs of Britain..."
The students eagerly asked about international events, and He Ruixin answered them one by one.
After answering a dozen questions, He Rui took out his pocket watch, looked at it, and said, "I will answer another question next. Please think about it carefully."
After hearing this request, the students began to think about it. The young official from the Ministry of Finance remained silent until he couldn't help but speak, "Excuse me, if the war ends in 2018, what will happen to Japan's economy?"
He Rui thought this was a good question and replied: "Regarding this matter, Professor Ping Fengsheng and I have already written a report to the Ministry of Finance. It is recommended that the Ministry of Finance begin to adjust production from the end of 2017 and shift the industrial structure from the export of war materials to civilian use.
In the field of production. Although after the end of the world war, Japan will definitely transform from a debtor country to a creditor country..."
A burst of sighs almost cheering erupted in the classroom. During the Russo-Japanese War in 1904, Japan borrowed a large amount of foreign debt. After Russia's defeat, it did not cede territory or pay compensation. Japan has been working hard to repay its debts. Being able to pay off all foreign debts is something that many Japanese
expectations for the next year.
The judgment that a debtor country has suddenly become a creditor country made everyone excited. The students' faces were full of joy when they heard this, and the eyes of the young officials of the Ministry of Finance also lit up. Even the usually calm Professor Ping Fengsheng
He couldn't help but push up his black-rimmed glasses.
Only the man in the back row, whom He Rui had never seen before, looked calm and thoughtful. When He Rui noticed him, the man still looked calm and turned a blind eye.
He Rui paused and waited for the heated atmosphere to subside slightly before continuing to predict, "Even if it gains such huge benefits during the war, Japan's industrial structure will be in trouble due to a sudden drop in orders as long as it maintains its wartime mode.
.It may even fall into an economic crisis. This is my prediction for the Japanese economy."
The enthusiasm in the classroom seemed to have been poured cold water on. Many young students who had been smiling just a moment ago had lost their smiles and looked surprised.
After answering this question, He Rui said: "This ends today's Q&A."
There was a burst of sighs among the students, obviously they were still unfinished.
He Rui continued: "Everyone, geopolitics is a brand new subject, but it is not a magical way to turn rocks into gold. I hope you will face this subject with a pragmatic attitude and let it have the opportunity to become an analytical world in your hands.
Tools. Goodbye, everyone."
The students stood up collectively and applauded He Rui.
He Rui walked out of the classroom. Professor Ping Fengsheng followed him out, "He Jun, I will take you to the pier."
"Thank you."
As soon as the two of them reached the door of the teaching building, a young official from the Ministry of Finance caught up with them from behind, "Professor Ping, Mr. He, please stay."
The young officials who caught up first apologized, and then the official in charge of the currency department asked: "Excuse me, how will Japan's exchange rate change after the war?"
He Rui directly stated the result, "The yen will appreciate."
The reporters also chased out, but were stopped by an official from the Ministry of Finance to prevent them from being disturbed.
"If the yen appreciates, how should export policies be adjusted?"
"After the war, no matter how Japan adjusts, its exports will decrease."
"He Jun, there must be a relatively better way to deal with it." The young officials pleaded.
"The method has to start with controlling exports. The Ministry of Finance provides intelligence on the export market, and banks adopt more detailed loan guidance for export companies. This may reduce the impact."
"Guide to exit?"
"Exports to Europe are bound to shrink, so it is even more important to understand which categories can no longer be done. Small businesses have no idea about the risks of exports. All they know is to sell goods to export companies and foreign businessmen. If the Ministry of Finance and banks cannot cooperate through
Kill the risk at the source. What results do you think will happen?"
The young officials of the Ministry of Finance have serious faces. Because they did not understand the changes in overseas markets, many exporters and manufacturing companies in a certain category collapsed. Not only did the companies collapse, but the business owners committed suicide, and the banks also took the blame.
A bunch of bad debts. No good outcome for all parties.
The Ministry of Finance has also thought of ways to deal with this, but with little success.
At this time, a person in the circle stepped forward in everyone's silence. This person was the one with the same expression in the classroom. He walked to the opposite side of He Rui and took out his business card.
Chapter completed!