Open a chapter and share some personal thoughts (minor spoilers)
The matter starts with a book review. Some people say that the logistics industry must not be intelligent, otherwise it will affect the stability and structure of the entire society. From this, it is inferred that there are problems with my values and are extremely ignorant...
I smiled!
First of all, I admit that I am ignorant. For example, the mathematics in the book is actually all kinds of fancy Baidu, because the author does not understand mathematics, and he is the kind that he can't learn no matter how he learns it. He even failed the college entrance examination mathematics and only scored more than 80 points. He can get into a book with more than 100 points, and he is the first in the political grade.
So I have a blind admiration for people who are good at maths. The book especially likes to write mathematics that I don’t understand.
Let's get back to the point.
1. I don’t want to say more about the relationship between productivity, production relations, means of production, economic foundation and superstructure in primary school politics class.
Next, let’s briefly analyze why I think that reader’s statement is ridiculous.
This has to start with productivity. What will happen to the progress of productivity? In my understanding, low value-added labor will inevitably be replaced, and the era of labor diversification has officially arrived.
In the feudal era, 90% of the people in the country were peasants and made a living by digging soil. People in that era would definitely not have thought that the working class would become the mainstream of society one day.
In the 1980s and 1990s, everyone knew what the relatively backward productivity had led to, and for some reasons, we would not discuss it in detail.
Time has entered 2000, and the Internet era is approaching. How many people have been supported by IT and related derivative industries, and career diversification has begun to emerge.
To give a few examples, you can ask the older generation of the 60s and 70s who dares to believe in the near future that ordinary people can become stars through talent shows and even generate a vigorous fan economy; who would believe that game competition can really take its own path and cultivate a group of idols, millions, and billionaires. To put it bluntly, playing games in that era was not doing its job.
Also, at that time, who believed that everyone could make money by making live broadcasts and short videos? Who would dare to believe that the career of food broadcasting would be born?
Until 2013, I didn’t expect that one day I would rely on typing online to support my family.
All of this depends on the progress of productivity and the increasing development of Internet technology.
Even the work provided by developed logistics to property owners is supported by Internet industries such as Tmall, Taobao, JD.com, Meituan, Ele.me, etc. Without these large-scale Internet companies, SF Express, Santong and Yida, etc. How could they grow to the point where they are today and can seize food from the post office?
And I firmly believe that Ma Huateng founded Tencent in 1998. When Jack Ma was brainwashing his Eighteen Arhats in his apartment in Hangzhou in 1999, he never thought that China's Internet would develop to its current situation.
2.
Next is the future development trend of productivity in the eyes of individuals and some personal judgments about the future.
If the Internet is a huge leap in productivity brought about by the Third Industrial Revolution, then the Fourth Industrial Revolution is likely to be a leap in productivity brought about by the popularization of artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things.
Then the biggest possibility of the popularization of AI and the Internet of Things on logistics is that drones and unmanned trucks solve the last mile delivery problem.
In fact, once AI is highly developed, the occupations it replaces will definitely not only logistics guys, but also doctors, lawyers, simultaneous translations, etc. We now seem to be extremely high-end professions. This is not a fantasy, it is a trend. If you pay attention to technology news, you will find that relying on AI combined with various machine detection data, the accuracy of diagnosis of certain diseases is as high as 96.7%.
In terms of legal application, especially for the British and American legal countries that follow past precedents, it is not a fantasy to replace ordinary litigation lawyers. After all, manpower is limited, but as long as you input enough information into the computer, the speed of reading and selection of AI will definitely be hundreds or even thousands of times that of humans (the computer's computing speed shall prevail).
So in my opinion, these professions were replaced by history! Including logistics guys.
3,
Will the leap in productivity lead to the disappearance of a large number of jobs lead to a large-scale unemployment wave? Will it affect the stability of social structure?
The former is inevitable in my opinion! But the latter is negative!
Why?
This has to start with the added value of labor.
Let’s take Pudding’s two favorite companies, Apple and Qualcomm, which he likes to do in the book as an example.
Apple's largest production bases are all in China, and everyone knows it is Foxconn.
Let’s take a look at Foxconn’s data. According to the company’s financial data in 2017, Foxconn has 270,000 employees, with annual revenue of RMB 354.5 billion and net profit of RMB 16.2 billion!
Compared with Apple's financial data in 2017, Apple has 132,000 employees, with annual revenue of US$3175.27, equivalent to about RMB 2.2 trillion, and net profit of US$684.16, equivalent to RMB 470 billion!
Why is Apple so awesome?
Because their people did high-value-added labor that represents the progress of productivity, and then threw low-value-added labor into China.
Qualcomm's example is more obvious. At present, except for Huawei, other domestic mobile phone companies have to hand over part of the profits to Qualcomm for each mobile phone production, because they need to authorize their CPU architecture. What is this called?
That's right, it's called lying to earn!
It represents the profit of advanced productivity without heavy labor and can rely on intellectual property to squeeze profits all over the world. This is why I have always insisted on using Huawei mobile phones. Even if Huawei has everything that I want to complain about, it represents the primary productivity and can keep the primary productivity in China.
This is also the fundamental reason for the current dispute over 5g standards.
On the other hand, I suggest you take a look at Douyin. Many overseas Chinese are popularizing science on it every day. What is the price of the basic food required by Americans?... When the supermarket is discounted, you dare to believe that the high-quality steak in less than $1.
So the question is, according to my inference, with the development of primary productivity, machines will compete with humans for jobs in the future, bringing a huge wave of unemployment. What should I do?
Really, I hope that that day will come quickly in China.
Because when China has mastered more and more primary productivity, which is probably called industry standards or intellectual property exports in the industry, it means that large companies with primary productivity in China are becoming easier and easier to make money, and can be like fish in water internationally and make more profits. It will inevitably mean that the country will enter a truly developed country, and it also means that a high-welfare society will gradually reveal its prototype.
From a human nature, being lazy and loathing with labor is the nature, and diligence and hard work are often a very rare accident. This is also the value of geniuses and scientists.
If everyone is born extremely self-disciplined, each has a strong interest in science, and has studied deeply into a certain major and achieved success, the world will definitely not be like this.
So when the real era of technology in the future really comes, what should we do without a job?
The answer must be that the tertiary industry is highly developed, countless new occupations are emerging frequently, and even professions that specialize in serving future artificial intelligence may be very popular.
China may usher in the greatest Renaissance in human history, and countless artists of all kinds that have amazed later generations continue to emerge, leaving an extremely precious spiritual legacy for all mankind.
The most cutting-edge positions are still preserved, and scientists are even more admired.
The proportion of the middle class may shrink to a certain extent, and it takes more effort to see the class leap.
The socialist system will give higher benefits to the poor. It is possible to pay money from time to time, but it is definitely not in vain. Please believe that the country's think tank is also enough to pay attention to people's livelihood when the treasury is not extremely rich. By that time, the country's science and technology were highly developed, and no matter how lazy people were, they could at least eat well and have a place to live!
Some people say how is it possible? There are so many Chinese people?
In fact, fertility rates have always been inversely proportional to the level of social welfare, and the social fertility rates of high welfare often get lower and lower. This is scientific statistics, not my imagination.
Of course, it is naturally impossible for an individual to achieve a perfect life without working hard. But the direction of hard work is definitely not to sell cheap labor.
The poor class is most likely like Mao Ni's life on Donglin Star described in the beginning of a novel called "Jianke".
Donglin Xing was once a resource star with rich federal resources, but now it has been mined completely and is also the hometown of the protagonist in the book. There is a saying in this book, "The life of foolish people is enough with soap opera!"
In other words, in the future, the poor government will definitely arrange some dispensable work to allow you to eat and have a small apartment. You will definitely not be hungry or homeless. You can also have a wealth of optional soap operas or other art forms to pass the time, and you can live your life safely, but if you want a better life, I'm sorry, please fight for it yourself!
Yes, no matter what era it is, personal hard work and diligence will always be closely related to your future. Highly developed productivity means that you can survive without working, but if you want to have a better and more respected life, you still have to work hard.
As for the end, when is the most valuable person?
Inheriting the views of this book will inevitably be the era of interstellar development.
Occupy and development of new planets requires humans to complete themselves, and artificial intelligence is only an early assistance at most...
As for what to do if you go to the other side?
Please refer to Liu's science fiction novel: In the end, the entire planet belongs to one person, and every breath of the whole human being is a debt owed! (I forgot the title of the book!)
It's over!
Last spoiler...
What should we do if everyone is unemployed? What defeats Douyin Kuaishou?
A software called Yunmingxing was born, and the slogan of this software "Discover the most real you anytime, anywhere! Let the real you become a star!"
As long as you agree to Yunmingxing's terms of service, you will be able to send out unreasonable drones, drones and cameras that are everywhere in the future. You don't need to prepare and perform stories, but you can capture the most beautiful, weird or memorable life videos at any time and send them to your own mobile phone. After you are sure you are willing to send them, it will be directly pushed to the software by the system.
Given the theory that reality is far more magical than scripts, this software may become popular, right?
Everyone can become the protagonist of this world for a minute...
A terrible future! Looking forward to the future!
Can you see the last one, can’t you recommend a reward?
Thank you pudding!
ps: Explain that the five million agreement signed with AppTrea is not about selling software, it is just an exclusive agreement, which means that the protagonist's software can only be uploaded on AppTrea, and the copyright is still registered. In the future, profits must be distributed to the protagonist according to the rules.
The meaning of this agreement is that it can only be downloaded from AppTrea, so if users want to use it, they must first download AppTrea first. To put it bluntly, it is to use excellent software to promote the market share of their own platform, not to directly sell the software!
ps2: Regarding the view of scumbags, Lu Yuxin, in Chapter 88, you will never guess the genius girl’s view of love. Please be sure to read that chapter carefully, because I think it is well written and I like it very much. Of course, it is still just the idea of a genius girl I imagined.
ps3: The next ten chapters are famous spoilers (yes, I actually have a copy of the manuscript! Still ten chapters!)
086 Our mother
087 The second code of scumbag
088 You can never guess the genius girl's view of love
089 Lu Yuxin's deeper considerations
090 The dream of the rich second generation
091 Your classmate is so awesome?
092 I get used to it when I’m embarrassed
093 This dog food is unexpectedly caught
094 Solicitation Plan
095 What is the use of a business card in the WeChat era?
above!
Chapter completed!