Chapter 198 Follow the trend! Follow the trend! (6K)
Chapter 198 Follow the trend! Follow the trend! (6K)
Author: Ru Meng Ru Hua
Chapter 198 Follow the trend! Follow the trend! (6K)
August 19, Tuesday; Affected by yesterday's surge in sentiment, the three major indexes all opened higher.
Realizing that his current cash flow is insufficient, Gu Junhao decided to focus more on his personal accounts in the near future.
There are promising stocks that you want to buy, but the stocks you hold do not meet expectations, and the funds never seem to be enough. This is a common problem for most people engaged in stock trading.
Gu Junhao is no exception. He realized this in his previous life in 2018. The stock was in the low valuation area. At that time, Gu Junhao wanted to buy many stocks, but he had limited funds.
Nowadays, Gu Junhao is facing the same problem. In the final analysis, it is still the greed of human nature that makes him want to have everything.
But this time, Gu Junhao, who has realized the problem, will certainly not do this. This time, the swing is just to increase cash flow as much as possible.
As happened some time ago, in order to complete the accumulation of original chips, the situation of adding all the profits from doing T can no longer happen.
Tonghuashun opened higher today following the broader market and closed at 22.35 yuan, up 1.13%. The call auction stage was even more sluggish than yesterday.
"The buyer's willingness is not strong. It can't open higher than the 5-day line, which is a bit dangerous."
Tong Huashun broke the 5-day line yesterday, and it was supposed to continue to adjust today. Gu Junhao didn't know if it was because he pledged the stock price.
However, this kind of false high opening that is no more than the 5-day line will continue to fall if there is no support from volume and energy after the opening. The first support position is the 10-day line.
"Try a small order first to see if anyone takes it." After thinking about it, Gu Junhao placed a sell order of 500 lots, and the price he placed was the opening price.
For a trial position of a small position, if the trading volume is large and breaks the 5-day line after the opening, then the order will be treated as a trial and error order and the loss will be stopped in advance, otherwise, continue to sell.
At 9:30, the transaction started. Gu Junhao's 500-lot sell order was successfully sold. However, due to the weak strength of the multiple parties, the 500-lot order was divided into two before the transaction was successful.
400 lots were traded at 22.38 yuan, and 100 lots were traded at 22.47 yuan; at the same time, Tonghuashun's stock price continued to rise; Gu Junhao continued to place sell orders of 1,500 lots without hesitation.
At 9:33, Tonghuashun's stock price fell back to 22.40 yuan after rising to 22.60 yuan. The 1,500 sell orders were digested and divided into dozens of transactions, with the average transaction price being 22.45 yuan.
"Sure enough, we still need to continue to adjust. The five-day moving average is not broken." The price of the five-day moving average is 22.67 yuan, and the upward trend does not touch the five-day moving average. The trend is quite obvious.
He placed a sell order of 1,000 lots again, and then Gu Junhao didn't dare to sell anymore. Today's trading volume was not large. If he sold too much and couldn't take it back, it would be troublesome.
In early trading, the three major indexes also entered a state of adjustment after opening higher. Coal stocks and media stocks turned higher in the morning. Although the indexes hit new highs, the overall shock was not too large.
"The overall trading volume has not broken through, and the heavyweight stocks have also been unable to rise. It seems that they are entering a period of adjustment." Think about it, since the index rebounded, it has been rising for nearly a month.
Even in the crazy stage of the late bull market, adjustments are inevitable; not to mention this stage when the daily trading volume only maintains more than 100 billion yuan.
However, this adjustment can be fast or slow. Taking stocks as an example, some strong stocks can continue to gain momentum after only a short adjustment, while some relatively weak stocks will have a longer adjustment period.
The selling price in this round was not high, with an average price of only 22.35 yuan. This round of selling was more laborious, and it took nearly six minutes for 1,000 orders to be fully completed.
"It's okay. The 3,000-lot order sold for 6.7224 million yuan." Gu Junhao looked at the funds with some satisfaction and said, if he hadn't been reluctant to give up the chips, he would have had other plans.
This 3,000 lots is enough to invest in Jiang Jianbai. It's really depressing to think about doing business. You have to work hard for most of your life. It's better to just do whatever you want in the stock market during a certain period of time.
At 9:40, Tong Huashun fell below the opening price, and the stock price fell rapidly, 22.30 yuan, 22.20 yuan, 22.10 yuan. In less than 5 minutes, Tong Huashun quickly fell to the flat price.
Only 15 minutes have passed since the opening of trading. Like the index, Tonghuashun surged higher and fell back, with the short-term amplitude reaching 2.26%.
At 9:48, Tonghuashun turned green for the first time in the day. The stock price was as low as 22.03 yuan. It was still clinging to the 22 yuan integer mark. However, judging from the market trading, it is somewhat difficult to hold on to the 22 yuan price.
In early trading today, there are still no large orders of 1,000 lots, and the largest buying order is only two orders of 500 lots. After the stock price turned green, Tong Huashun’s largest buying order was only 240 lots.
"Hold it first and try to see if you can buy it." In the morning, Gu Junhao analyzed that Tonghuashun's first support point was near the 10-day line price of 21.35 yuan.
Calculated based on today's flat price, it is 21.35 yuan, which is a drop of 3.5%; the probability of completing the first adjustment within the day is still relatively high.
This is often the case for strong stocks. During the first adjustment period, more off-market funds are targeted, and the adjustment will often end quickly and the first task of rising higher will be completed.
In Gu Junhao's opinion, Tong Huashun's current rise has not yet started in the true sense.
In addition to performance and subsequent support from market expectations, this round of gains is mainly based on the route of filling in rights, which is equivalent to doubling the stock price.
When the stock price doubles in one round, there must be a large amount of funds that need to take profits. At that time, the real adjustment of Tonghuashun will begin.
At 10 o'clock, Tonghuashun fell below the price of 22 yuan, and three minutes later reported the lowest price of 21.79 yuan. Judging from the time-sharing trend during the day, the yellow moving average gradually moved downwards.
Usually this trend is a sign that the stock price continues to fall. Unless there are large and continuous buying orders at this time, it is possible to reverse within the day.
Gu Junhao casually flipped through several stocks held by the fund, and the trends were all like Tonghuashun, opening high and moving low; among them, Dongfang Fortune was the most tragic.
Dongfang Fortune jumped short and opened high at 12 yuan in the morning. It rose by more than 5% at one time and fell to the flat price at this time. Wan'an Technology, Yinzhijie, Xibu Securities, etc. are all in the green market.
The biggest problem of small and medium-sized stocks recently is actually the lack of capacity. This can be seen from Gu Junhao’s four positions; funds are constantly flowing into blue chip stocks.
This morning, large sectors such as coal were put out to protect the market. Under the siphon effect, the funds entering small and medium-sized enterprises will inevitably decrease, resulting in an inability to rise.
In the morning, Tonghuashun maintained this volatile downward trend, closing at 21.66 yuan at noon, down 2.03%.
Gu Junhao was somewhat satisfied with the stock price. It was only 0.3 yuan away from his pending order. It seemed that there was still hope for picking up the chips again in the afternoon.
In terms of indexes, the Shanghai Composite Index rose and fell back in the morning. However, due to the weight protection, the index also maintained a fluctuation near the flat level, and the overall performance was relatively stable.
——
"Interesting, these leeks are really interesting. They can only flatter and don't understand the meaning behind it." Yang Jian stared at the computer screen and smiled. On the screen was the Peach Stock Bar where everyone was discussing Gu Junhao's pledge of Tonghuashun stocks.
Yang Jian, a native of Guangdong Province, has a small amount of assets; he has invested as much as 5 million in the stock market. Nowadays, he can be regarded as a great person.
Yang Jian's style is somewhat similar to Gu Junhao's, but also slightly different; to be precise, it should be close to the position holding style of Su Mingyu's father's generation, which is to buy and hold on, and then sell when the expectations are met.
Of course, 5 million is not all of Yang Jian's assets. Speaking of which, there are quite a lot of people in Guangdong Province who speculate in stocks, and they are all quite wealthy; for example, Su Mingyu's family.
While Yang Jian is stock trading, he also has a special hobby, which is to visit stock bars and stock trading areas in his spare time. Not that he wants to learn anything, but Yang Jian has his own stock trading system.
The main reason for visiting these places is that Yang Jian loves to read gossip news, especially those related to stocks, whether it is the praise of Peach Stock Bar or the curse words in the stock trading area.
For Yang Jian, these are all his pleasures. Today Yang Jian entered the peach stock bar as usual, and when he casually browsed, he saw posts praising Gu Junhao.
In line with the principle of reading for fun, Yang Jian clicked on the post and after browsing it, he roughly understood the content: "A young man who became famous in Peach Stock Bar has pledged part of his holdings."
Out of curiosity, Yang Jian also clicked on the trend of Tonghuashun, which is incredible; this stock is too strong. After analyzing the performance and fundamentals, Yang Jian couldn't help but sigh: "It turns out that the GEM also has good news.
Stocks!”
The GEM, which was established in 2009, is not favored by investors like Yang Jian. The main board has always been their stronghold. Yang Jian has also made large profits in the recent blue-chip rebound.
However, Yang Jian felt that there was no breakthrough in the amount of funds. He had already withdrawn from blue-chip stocks yesterday and was short-positioned today, otherwise he would not have time to browse peach stocks during trading hours.
"This stock has just started. Judging from its performance expectations and growth trajectory, the probability is at least three times higher, and right now it has not even been filled in.
This young man is quite interesting and kind-hearted; the purpose of pledging some shares is obviously to tell some interested fans to get on the bus quickly, it is interesting and interesting!"
It is not easy to own a private equity company and achieve the number one performance in its category. It is not easy to make several million yuan. As soon as you ask, there are many people who want to lend it to you.
And this young man named Gu Junhao actually needs to pledge stocks; this is obviously contrary to common sense, and there must be something fishy in it.
Yang Jian also just browsed all the information about Gu Junhao, including the official website of Junshi Capital, and finally concluded that this young man wanted to reveal something to his fans.
Private equity funds have certain thresholds, and there is nothing that fans can do if they fail to meet them, but they cannot publicly promote a certain stock. However, through this public operation method, it can be known to the public while not violating any rules.
"After adjusting for five trading days, the Yang line on the 13th has not been broken. This is the trend that Changyang will not break. Take a look in the afternoon and rush in if it can hold on to the 10-day line."
During the hour and a half break at noon, apart from packing a takeaway, Yang Jian sat at the computer desk and analyzed Gu Junhao's intentions and Tong Huashun's trend through a large amount of information.
In the end, Yang Jian felt that he should seize this opportunity. Although this was his first time buying GEM stocks, it was worth a try.
In the afternoon trading, Tonghuashun continued to fall rapidly. At 13:07, Tonghuashun fell below the price of 13.50 yuan, and then fought for this position.
At 13:15, the three major indexes all turned green. Tong Huashun failed to hold the price of 21.50 yuan. At 13:22, the stock price was as low as 21.22 yuan, breaking the 10-day line in time.
Gu Junhao's buy order has already begun to be completed. It must be said that Gu Junhao's pending order at this position still has a certain power. Tonghuashun's stock price briefly rebounded from 21.22 yuan to 21.40 yuan.
At 13:30, the oil and steel sectors changed. The oil giants both rose, and the Shanghai Composite Index forcibly turned red.
The petrochemical duo's market-protecting behavior has formed muscle memory for veteran A-share investors. Often when these two stocks rise, a market adjustment is imminent.
Some ordinary investors sold their stocks one after another. At 13:30 when the market turned red, individual stocks of small and medium-sized enterprises all experienced a rapid decline.
Tonghuashun also fell back to around 21.30 yuan as usual, but this time, Tonghuashun did not continue to hit new lows.
"It should be stable today. Strong stocks are still good in the short term. They don't follow the general trend."
After half an hour of low adjustment, Tonghuashun's stock price has always remained near the price of 21.30 yuan, the amplitude is quite low, and the trading volume has also shrunk a lot.
However, taking into account the last rapid decline, which lasted 40 minutes under the price of 21.35 yuan, for Gu Junhao, who had already set up a prepaid order, there was no problem in 3,000 lots of transactions.
The average transaction price is 21.30 yuan, which is not bad. Today's 3,000 lots of T, the average earnings per share is more than 1 yuan, and the profit difference of 330,000 yuan is not bad.
At 14:10, Tonghuashun, which had not reached a new low, began to receive larger buying orders at the price of 21.35 yuan. The volume of Tonghuashun at this stage was relatively obvious.
"It seems that there are OTC funds coming to buy the bottom." Looking at Tong Huashun's rapid rebound, Gu Junhao smiled.
In the rebound after 14:10, Yang Jian, who is in Guangdong Province, contributed his own strength. When he saw that Tong Huashun bottomed out for the second time, it did not break the previous low and gradually stabilized on the 10-day line.
Yang Jian took action, and 2,500 pending orders were placed in seven lots. Unlike Gu Junhao, who sold high and bought low while suppressing the price, it had no impact on the stock price.
The price Yang Jian listed was 22 yuan. Such a purchase order of more than 5 million, even if it is split, will have a certain effect on raising the stock price.
Tonghuashun's stock price dropped from 21.35 yuan to 21.66 yuan within 10 minutes, then quickly fell back to 21.45 yuan again, and stabilized at around 21.54 yuan at 14:30.
Yang Jian's 2,500 orders were also traded during this process, with an average transaction price of 21.50 yuan. The efficiency of opening a position was much higher than that of Gu Junhao, and it only took 20 minutes.
It has to be said that the petrochemical duo's protective behavior has cast a huge shadow on small and medium-sized enterprises. Although the Shanghai Composite Index has turned red, the money-making effect of small and medium-sized enterprises in the afternoon is much worse than that in the morning.
It is not a good thing that big funds continue to attack blue chip stocks. When the trading volume reaches its peak, the index does not have much room for adjustment, and finally has to use big killers such as the Petrochemical duo.
Judging from the time-sharing structure today, there were multiple adjustments during the session, and some funds had a strong willingness to take profits. However, the Shanghai Composite Index is currently in an ascending channel in an ascending stage.
At each round of lows, there are over-the-counter funds to take over, which also causes the lows and highs to continue to rise, but it is not a problem if it continues like this.
When the sentiment of OTC funds finally cools down, once the funds are weak, it will evolve into a trend of more killing and more killing. Today's index has changed from the previous short squeeze market to a volatile trend. This is already an adjustment.
Foreshadowed.
Returning to Tonghuashun, Tonghuashun once again increased its volume slightly during the late trading time at 14:35, and the stock price rebounded rapidly.
At 14:38, Tonghuashun, after falling below the yellow moving average at the opening of the day, returned to above the average price again, reporting at 21.78 yuan.
"Okay, the rebound has been pretty good, the volume has increased, but it's not too much. Today's buy is basically stable." Yang Jian stared at Tong Huashun's time-sharing chart and smiled a little happily.
Yang Jian, who has always been engaged in a stable trading model, has his own logical support for this sudden trend of following the trend, but in the end everything still depends on the trend.
Yang Jian was happy when he saw Tonghuashun rebounding above the average price.
At 14:42, after Tonghuashun rebounded to a maximum price of 22 yuan, it began to fall back slowly, with no significant change in trading volume.
At the close of trading at 15 o'clock, Tonghuashun finally closed at 21.85 yuan, down 1.33% during the day; both the trading volume and turnover rate were slightly higher than yesterday.
Today, there are many retail investors like Yang Jian who follow the trend and buy Tonghuashun.
Some anxious investors saw Tonghuashun opening higher in early trading, thinking that the adjustment was over, and worried about not being able to get on the bus, so they couldn't wait to buy.
There are many such people. In a sense, Gu Junhao, who had a T-T today, took the opportunity to cut leeks.
Such impatient investors will naturally end up at a loss, and very few can make profits from losses.
Unless there is a sharp rebound in Tong Hua Shun's trading tomorrow, meat cutters will account for the majority among them.
A positive line can change a person's belief, and a few trading days of losses can also change a person's belief.
For investors who hunt for the bottom in the afternoon, even if they are lucky, as long as they do not buy in the last 20 minutes of the late trading, buying at any other stage is enough to guarantee today's profit.
Holding a position in a profitable state can often make people calmer, as is the case for Brother Cao, the administrator of Li Zequn.
Bewitched by Li Ze and coupled with their own analysis, everyone in Li Ze's group also took a high look at Tong Huashun's expectations, but the level of this group of people was basically the same.
We do not judge from the fundamentals and previous general trends, but only analyze from the daily K-line; for Tong Huashun, who has a technical trend on the daily K-line, today's decline makes it somewhat difficult for them to buy the bottom.
In addition, the promotion of the two heroes of Petrochemical in the afternoon also persuaded some people to retreat. Those who dared to buy and sell again were the other two except Brother Cao. Everyone else wanted to wait and see.
At this point, the number of early holders of Tonghuashun in the Stud group has dropped to four, and one group has expanded to a whole group. This also shows that this round of adjustment of the main funds has been very successful.
There are also some people in the Peach Stock Bar who tentatively bought some Tonghuashun today, but these people do not have a large amount of funds. At present, there are still a small number of A-share users with more than 500,000 funds.
Today, the Shanghai Composite Index was forcibly pulled red by the petrochemical duo, closing at 2243.33 points, up 0.2%. Under the protection of the three major weighted sectors of coal, oil, and steel, the trading volume was only 15 billion yuan more than yesterday.
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From these aspects, the Shanghai Composite Index has also entered a volatile range from a strong upward trend, and the money-making effect during this period will be greatly reduced.
As for the ChiNext, although the index barely closed in the red today, the K-line performance was a false positive line, and individual stocks were in general decline.
In fact, it’s not just the GEM. Today, more than 60% of the stocks in the stock market are in the green market. China’s major A-shares seem to have entered a period of rising indexes but not individual stocks.
The stocks held by Junshi No. 1 today can be considered to be all green. The only rising stock, Dongfang Fortune, reported 11.67 yuan, while yesterday's closing price was 11.66 yuan.
Compared with the opening price of 12 yuan and the highest price of 12.32 yuan, the closing price of 11.67 yuan undoubtedly disappointed the majority of holders.
It is worth mentioning that Dongfang Wealth continued to increase its volume today, with trading volume exceeding 600 million yuan. Although it received a false negative line, it still stood above the fifth line, and the trend was relatively healthy.
After all, Dongfang Wealth has been falling for more than a month. The last price above 12 yuan was in June. Today's highest price of 12.32 yuan is already infinitely close to the highest price after ex-rights on June 16.
The Leeks who had been trapped for two months needed to release the pressure in their hearts when they saw the hope of getting out of the trap. At this time, opening high and moving low gave them emotional catharsis.
At the same time, it also allows them to sell smoothly with a small loss or a small profit, which can be regarded as living up to the suffering of this period of time.
In the evening, Yin Zhijie, the only position among Junshi No. 1's holdings that had pre-lossed in the first half of the year, also officially announced its financial results for the first half of the year, and the bad news was officially realized.
In this financial report, the net profit loss is comparable to the performance forecast, but it is not without highlights; firstly, the decline in revenue has been greatly reduced, and secondly, cash flow has increased by 22.69% year-on-year.
Revenue has not declined much, and cash flow is growing. From a specific business perspective, although Yinzhijie's financial information business has a slight decline in revenue, its gross profit margin is still on a growth trend, reaching 52.17%.
As for software products, revenue still maintained a growth rate of 19.48%, with the financial equipment business experiencing a sharp decline, but this was also a consequence of the pain of transformation.
Yinzhijie is currently in the stage of seeking transformation, and the companies it has reorganized and acquired are all hot topics at the moment. Regardless of whether the transformation can be successful, it will not be bad in terms of expectations.
This financial loss, which had many bright spots, also directly rebounded on the stock price. Yinzhijie fell from the lowest to 17.22 yuan in the late trading period, and the intraday drop exceeded 3% and directly rose to the closing price of 17.65 yuan.
Yin Zhijie's official semi-annual financial changes are similar to Wan'an Technology's original financial report. It has to be said that the market at this stage is really too chaotic.
Insider funds are not shy about this kind of operation, but the operations of these insider funds can also reflect from the side that Yin Zhijie's market outlook is still maintained.
The vest of the book friend "Book God Jian Jian" in Yang Jian's book review area. If you want to make a guest appearance, you can leave a message under the pinned character post, and I can arrange it according to the plot.