Today is different from the past. In 1848, due to internal reasons, France could only sit back and watch Russia stir up trouble in Wallachia. However, as Napoleon III completely controlled the situation and took over power through a new coup, this Napoleon
The emperor's nephew was no longer content to be just a president. He wanted to be the manipulator like his uncle and make the whole of Europe recall the fear brought by the name Napoleon.
Especially in recent years, the Catholic power in France has greatly increased, and the provocation of the Orthodox Church led by Russia has become increasingly intolerable. It can be said that the majority of believers hope to teach the damn polar bear a lesson, not to mention that the French can never forget that year.
How did Emperor Napoleon get knocked down? It can be said that the strength of Russia today is because it stepped on the body of France.
The combination of many factors such as national hatred and family hatred has given France the idea of competing with Russia. What's more, it is not 1814 anymore. At that time, the entire Europe was united under the banner of the Anti-French Alliance.
France, and now look at Russia, does it still have decent allies?
"Although Austria has not made a clear position, it has expressed concerns about Russia's expansion. If our country is at war with Russia, Austria will at least remain neutral!"
Napoleon III curled up his iconic mustache, and then fell into deep thought while stroking his pet dog in his arms.
To be honest, Napoleon III himself did not expect that he would reach this point. When he escaped from prison and escaped from France, he could be said to be in extreme embarrassment. When he arrived in London, he accomplished nothing and was just a wandering lothario. The revolution of 1848 gave him
There is a chance for him to make a comeback, but he did not have much real power in his hands after he became president in a haphazard manner.
The general opinion of the outside world at that time was that as soon as his four-year term was up, he would be brought back to his original shape, and because of his extravagant spending, the day he left office would be the day he was thrown into Paris debt prison.
Anyway, at that time, generally no one thought he could succeed, let alone that he was any different from his uncle. But under such generally unfavorable circumstances, he bucked the trend and finally won the power.
It's just that, although the power is in his hands, it is not stable. If there is a slight mistake, whether it is the Paris people who hate him or the Paris upper class who despise him, they will settle the accounts with him. At that time, he may be worse than dead.
So Napoleon III knew that he had to do something quickly. Only by making something eye-catching could he divert the hatred he had accumulated before.
The first thing Napoleon III thought of was the religious issue and the Balkan issue. He actually didn't know much about Russia and was a little afraid. After all, it was a huge monster. Most of the raging flames of the 1848 revolution were extinguished by Russia. At that time,
France, on the other hand, has too much time to take care of itself. In comparison, the gap between the two sides seems huge.
Napoleon III was not a military genius. He could not use military thinking and common sense to judge the reality of Russia. After all, not everyone with the surname Bonaparte had the same military genius as Napoleon Bonaparte.
In this aspect, Napoleon III was very mediocre, without any shining points. All his talents were in flirting. He was really good at picking up girls. He had more illegitimate children than he could count on one hand. He was a veritable love saint.
So Napoleon III asked his worst fear: "Is it possible for us to defeat the Russians alone?"
It's just that no one can answer this question, because even the most professional and optimistic French soldiers in this era cannot guarantee that they will defeat Russia at its peak. On the contrary, more people may think that Russia is invincible, at least France
You can't win alone.
For Napoleon III, there is sometimes an answer when there is no answer. These silent silences told him that if France went to war with Russia alone, there would be little chance of victory. In this case, he did not need to continue to struggle, because there was only one choice before him.
——Remain restrained and wait for opportunities.
What? Why not join forces with Britain or other countries to deal with Russia, you ask?
Isn't this a joke? Britain and France are feuding, especially after Napoleon's incident, the relationship between Britain and France has hit rock bottom. It can be said that all the shackles France currently has in the international community are caused by Britain and its associates.
It is not easy for you to shake hands with your enemies and make peace. And with the recovery of France and the rapid growth of national power in recent years, Britain still regards France as its main opponent. It is still watching it all the time. How can reconciliation be possible?
"Tell the Turks to be strong. The international community will not turn a blind eye to Russia's atrocities... But as long as the Russians' demands are not particularly outrageous, it doesn't matter if they give in a little!"
This answer is very light and easy, but it will be uncomfortable in the ears of the Turks. They will feel that they have been betrayed again, and that France is not sincere in providing them with justice. The final outcome of the Bulgaria issue is very likely
It is they who continue to tolerate Russia's loss of power and humiliation.
But what made the Turks very depressed was the second half of what Napoleon III said: "But they must not give in on the key issue, and they must not let the Russians continue to advance or even enter the Mediterranean!"
This will cost the lives of the Turks, because Napoleon III meant: "You bunch of chickens can bow to Russia, but you must not let Russia benefit too much. If the Russians break through the restrictions of the Black Sea, then you
It’s over!”
The problem is that this is very contradictory to the Turks! Because Nicholas I’s attitude is clearly aimed at breaking through the Black Sea blockade, otherwise what is the point of him pressing forward step by step. But you French guys won’t let it go
We have made too many concessions, but if the Russians are not satisfied, how can they just give up?
It can be said that Turkey is placed in a dilemma. They feel a bit stuck. They cannot make no concessions but cannot make too many concessions. Is this scale too difficult to grasp?
So in the face of Russia's increasing pressure and military threats, Turkey is panicked. They don't know what to do. They should actively prepare for war. France and the United Kingdom have also told Turkey to exercise restraint and not actively provoke polar bears. Don't actively prepare for war. The polar bears have already
He leaned most of his body into their home. If he didn't resist, his sincere nest would be taken away.
"I think Britain and France are unreliable. If that doesn't work, let's just surrender. How about ceding Bulgaria in exchange for Russia's promise not to continue to challenge us on religious and border issues?"