"Why do I say that there are logical loopholes in what Professor Zhao said?"
“It’s easy!”
"Because of survivorship bias..."
Ye Bai's words came from the heart and spoke loudly.
"Professor Zhao must have heard of the term survivor bias, right?"
"I believe everyone is familiar with this term."
"It means that you can only see the results produced by some kind of filtering, but you are not aware of the filtering process, so you ignore the key information that was filtered out."
"This phenomenon is very common in daily life."
"For example, many people come to the conclusion that "study is useless" because they see some people who don't go to school well but still work as bosses and make a lot of money. But they ignore those who are unknown or even lost because they don't go to school well."
"Another example, when you persuade people around you to quit smoking, they will always say, look, who has been smoking all his life, isn't he in good health now that he is old?"
"But there are many more people who have died of illness long ago because of smoking, which they cannot see. They can only see the survivors."
"Then please tell me, among people who did not go to school well, are there more people who become bosses and make a lot of money? Or are there more people who are unknown or even lose their souls?"
This question reminded the audience in the live broadcast room of many survivor bias phenomena in daily life.
They all began to express their opinions on the screen.
"Yes, when Ye Bai said this, phenomena that we didn't notice in ordinary times were revealed."
"How many people who don't study hard can become bosses and make a lot of money?"
"Tsk! Even if you study hard and get into college, not many people can be bosses."
"You still lose money when you are a boss."
"I wouldn't have noticed this truth unless Brother Ye told me."
"After this live broadcast, I gained a little more knowledge."
Director Meng Gang was already paying attention to the situation in the live broadcast room.
Seeing netizens swiping the screen, he thought of the current "Expert Advice" program, which seemed to have survivor bias.
Especially with the increasing popularity of the program, if it weren't for the verbal battle between experts and Ye Bai, how would it have achieved such good results.
Just as he was thinking about it, Ye Bai's voice sounded again.
"The answer is obvious!"
After Ye Bai took a breath and drank some water, he continued.
"Take back the example given by Professor Zhao above, and let's look at it again."
"Prince Wang Sicong, he is a second-generation rich man with a very personal personality, and he is quite public in his work."
"Because of his flamboyant personality, we all know that he is still unmarried and has not had children. But what about other rich people or the second generation of rich people?"
"Do you need to tell us, the general public, whether to be born or not? That is people's freedom and choice!"
"Then the question comes again. Do you think there are more rich people who have children, or do you think there are more rich people who don't have children?"
When Ye Bai spoke such a long paragraph again, the audience in the live broadcast room fell silent.
The director, supporters and the audience all fell silent.
Isn't this obvious?
After a short period of silence, the audience in the Hangzhou Satellite TV live broadcast room reacted first and expressed their opinions one after another.
"There must be many rich people who have children, and they can afford them and raise them."
"There are very few rich people who don't have children. After all, they have mines to inherit."
"There are countless news stories about rich people having illegitimate children, too many to watch."
"That's right, I hope experts will stop fooling us people with this lucky bias."
After hearing these words, the audience in Ye Bai's live broadcast room felt more admiration for him.
"Ye Bai is so handsome and what he said makes sense!"
"Brother Ye, you are really a representative of clear logic, you are amazing."
"The reality is so cruel, it's so difficult for us."
"Keep going, it's so true."
The atmosphere at the scene was still very quiet, and Professor Zhao's expression became even worse.
This young man can always find some "weird" opinions to justify himself.
He glanced at the audience and felt that they all seemed to have been convinced by Ye Bai. How could this work?
He cleared his throat and rushed to speak.
"Survivorship bias is fine in itself. But it doesn't apply to everything, because not everything is luck."
"At least, when it comes to having children and raising old age, we can control it ourselves instead of classifying it as luck or misfortune!"
At this moment, Ye Bai was about to laugh out loud at the expert in front of him. Why was his words so "funny"?
Who doesn't want to give birth? Is it because he doesn't want to give birth?
Who doesn’t give birth because he can’t afford it?
Those who are willing to have children must naturally have them if they can afford them!
Thinking of this, Ye Bai tried his best to control his emotions and spoke.
"Professor Zhao, if your suggestion is implemented smoothly, most poor young people will rush to have children because they are afraid of being punished."
"Since everyone is rushing to have children, it means that no one needs to pay more taxes to raise children for others."
"Does the child have to be raised by himself after all? Then how should he raise it?"
"For working-class people who only have a few thousand yuan a month, do they have to use all their money to raise their children? If they still don't have enough money, what should they do?"
After saying so much in one breath, Ye Bai became more and more emotional as he spoke, and by the end his hands were clenched into fists.
"It can only be deducted from the five insurances and one housing fund. I can only hope that my children will be filial to me when they grow up."
"Then let me ask you, what will happen to the country's tax revenue when this happens?"
hiss...
The viewers in the live broadcast room, who had not thought so much about it originally, gasped and agreed very much with Ye Bai's remarks.
"That's great. Everyone is rushing to give birth. What will happen to the country's tax revenue?"
"The wool comes from the sheep, experts may not understand this truth!"
"We are just poor people and we didn't steal or rob, so why don't you let us go."
"You think us young people are soft persimmons, right?"
"Ye Bai is mighty, I support you."
Professor Zhao seemed not surprised by Ye Bai's question.
He raised his glasses on the bridge of his nose and said calmly.
"China can now divide people into two types. One is called the rich, accounting for 3%, and the other is called the poor, accounting for 97%."
"I think we can rely on the 3% of rich people to pay taxes and help the 97% of poor people to raise their children!"
Just when he still wanted to talk, Ye Bai couldn't control his emotions anymore and exploded.
"What the hell are you talking about!"
"Professor Zhao, did I hear it wrong? I really don't know how you got this point of view!"
"It's just an unrealistic fantasy."
"Do you think you can represent the 3% of rich people and give us this promise to the 97% of poor people?"
"It's just ridiculous." This chapter has been completed!