The rebellion of the people in the East has just subsided, and the eight states of Guanzhou are about to face a bigger storm. Not only are all parties in Guandong not afraid, but they are happy to fish in troubled waters, trying to get chestnuts from the fire.
How can there be peace in the world if people's hearts are restless? If greed is excessive, trouble will come to you.
While Shiba Yoshigan was far away in Kanto arguing with all parties, in Sakai Port, Kinki, in order to deal with the coming financial crisis, Takada Yono was also secretly making preparations.
Not only does she want to survive this crisis, but she also wants to use this crisis to make profits and sacrifice funds from Kanto to make her power stronger.
At the beginning of the new year, rumors spread in Sakai Port that the Tokaido trade route might be reopened, which immediately triggered a shock and decline in the high-priced stocks of the Hokurikudo trade route.
While the outside world was panicking, Takada Yono, who was stationed at the Shinsengumi station, sat firmly on the Diaoyutai and calmly discussed with Imai Munehisa.
Imai Munehisa said.
"The rumors that were spread have already had an effect, and the total value of Hokurikudo Trading Company's stock has dropped from the highest level of about 8 million guan to about 6.5 million guan.
Our act of joining forces with major shareholders to sell stocks first, was covered by this rumor and became logical."
Cashing out at high positions is a technical activity.
Only when one party feels that he is selling at a high level and makes the other party feel that he is buying at a low level can the transaction be completed. Then both parties will talk to each other, each will get what he wants, and each will be happy.
Takada Yono joined forces with major shareholders to sell at high prices and cash out. If there are not enough buyers, it will only cause the stock to crash and plummet, so there must be a reasonable excuse to cooperate with the selling.
As soon as the rumors of the reopening of the Tokaido trade route came out, many people were still dubious, but Takada Haruno had already sold a lot of money.
As long as there are still people who don't believe the news about the reopening of the Tokaido trade route, they will regard this sharp drop as an opportunity to buy the bottom, so they will take over the stocks of Takada Haruno and major shareholders and stand guard at a high position.
Takada Yangno nodded and said.
“The decline of Shanglu stocks is almost on the verge of collapse, and we need to stabilize the mood of small investors.
If you find an opportunity to come forward in the past few days and categorically deny the news of the reopening of the Tokaido trade route, the major shareholders will suspend selling and cooperate with your refutation of the rumors.
Bring the total value back to more than 7 million pounds, give small investors a little sweetness and hope, and make them feel that they have hit the bottom before they are willing to continue buying."
Imai Munehisa bowed.
"Hi."
Hokurikudo Trading's stocks are only a very rudimentary trading transaction. There are no various trading methods in the modern financial system, and there is no short-selling mechanism.
To put it simply, you can only buy up, not down. If you want to make profits from stocks, you can only hope for them to rise. Falling is unlikely to bring benefits to the holders.
Due to the lack of a reasonable short-selling mechanism, the price of Hokurikudo stock can be speculated to an artificially high level, which is far greater than the actual intrinsic value.
The Kanto-Kansai trade route logistics market is worth about 5 million guan. Because the Tokaido trade route is blocked and the Nakasendo trade route is difficult to travel, most caravans choose to take the Hokurikudo trade route.
As a result, Hokurikudo Trading Company became the dominant company, monopolizing the logistics market worth four million dollars.
The profit ratio of the entire Houriku Road trade route operation is about ten to one, which means that a market of 4 million guan can earn 400,000 guan in revenue every year.
However, the highest value of Hokurikudo Trading Co.'s stock was sold to 8 million yuan by Takada Yono and major shareholders, which was twice the actual intrinsic value.
If the total value of Hokuriku Doshinro's shares were still four million guan, shareholders who purchased the shares would be able to recover one-tenth of their principal through dividends every year.
That is to say, after buying a stock, the capital will be repaid in ten years, and the dividends after that will be the extra interest earned.
However, the Hokuriku Dou Trading Road has been hyped to 8 million guan, and the annual income is still 400,000 guan. So it will take 20 years to pay back the capital, and the intrinsic value has dropped significantly.
In this medieval era, when the average life expectancy was twenty or thirty years, a business that took a lifetime to repay was bound to be a loss-making business.
The stock price of Hokurikudo Trading Co., Ltd. is at a high of 8 million francs, which cannot be maintained for a long time.
That's why Takada Haruno will unite with major shareholders to actively burst the bubble, cash out and run away, leaving the stocks and risks to small investors to take over.
But if they want to cash out smoothly, they have to constantly give hope to small investors, use bad news to cover up the truth of the decline caused by cash out, and use good news to stimulate a rebound and attract small investors to take over the market at a high level.
The longer the stock price of Hokurikudo Trading fluctuates at a high level, the more Haruno Takada and the major shareholders will ship at high prices, the more profits will be made, and the more small businesses will be trapped by the high price.
Takada Yono thought about it and said.
"The saint only wrote a private letter to communicate with me about the reopening of the Tokaido trade route, and did not issue an official document.
Before the saint issued an official order, it would not be a violation of business credibility for you to refute the rumors on my behalf, because we didn't know about it either.
The Tokaido trade route has reopened, involving the Oda, Tokugawa, Takeda, and Hojo families. It is not that easy for the saint to support the Imagawa family to return to Suruga country. I still have plenty of time.
We will use this period of time to try our best to ship goods, distribute the stocks in our hands to small investors, and then wait for the official news about the reopening of the Tokaido trade route."
Both Takada Yono and Imai Munehisa knew in their hearts that once the conclusive news about the Tokaido Trading Road came out, the stock price of the Hokuriku Road Trading Road would definitely plummet.
The current market volume of Hokurikudo Trading Road is 4 million guan a year, and the profit can no longer sustain the stock price of 8 million guan.
After the reopening of the Tokaido Trading Road, it will take at least half of the logistics market of the Hokuriku Road Trading Road. In other words, the market volume of the Hokuriku Road Trading Road is likely to drop to 2 million in the next few years.
In a market of 2 million guan, the profit is 200,000 guan. The stock price of a small investor taking over the market at a high position is 8 million guan, which is a return of capital in forty years.
Stocks are bought for the future, and the return of capital in twenty years is already a price that small investors cannot accept, let alone a return of capital in forty years.
As soon as the confirmed news about the Tokaido Trading Line comes out, a large number of small businesses will definitely be disappointed and leave the market, and the stock price of the Hokuriku Trading Line will definitely fall sharply, possibly even all the way down to a total value of 2 million yuan.
From 8 million to 2 million, the stock price fell by less than three-quarters, then halved and then halved again, which was enough to make everyone feel desperate.
Takada Yono was so courageous that Imai Soku was panicked. She couldn't help but wipe her sweat and said.
"Sir, is this too cruel? If you can't control it, it will cause a chain reaction..."
Hokurikudo Trading Co. stock does not exist in isolation, but uses Saba Food Stamps together with Saba Real Estate, which are the two pillars that stabilize the face value of Sba Food Stamps.
When Sibo food stamps came out, they were highly hyped because of their safety and convenience. One stone of food stamps could be exchanged for two stones of rice.
Later, the Shiba Oda family went to war, and Takada Yono issued food stamps indiscriminately to support the saint in the war. The face value of the food stamps quickly depreciated. One stone of face value could only be exchanged for one stone of grain, which almost fell below the issue price.
Takada Yono stipulated that Hokkaido Trading Company stocks and Shiba Real Estate could only be traded using food stamps. In addition, he established Shiba Bank to reverse repurchase food stamps and earn interest, which stabilized the value of food stamps.
If the stock price of Hokuriku Doro Trading falls too sharply, falling by three-quarters, and the trading volume shrinks as a result, the excess food stamps will flood and eat back the value of the food stamps.
One stone of face value can be exchanged for one stone of rice. This is the bottom line that Takada Yono must adhere to, because the annuity benefits of Shibachu Fund are all paid in food stamps.
If the exchange rate of food stamps is lower than the face value, then the die-hard bookmakers compiled by Spo will shrink and affect the political stability of the Spo family. This is absolutely not allowed.
What’s even more frightening is that Hokurikudo Trading Company stocks, Saba Real Estate, Saba Bank, and Saba food stamps are like grasshoppers connected on a rope.
If something goes wrong, no one can run away, they can only be tied together and watch the fireworks explode.
Takata Yono sighed.
"If I didn't have to, I wouldn't take this step.
During the Battle of Shiba Oda, the military expenditure was two million dan and the reward was 2 million dan. The samurai family cheered loudly and shouted long live the saint. Who knew that behind the long live shouts, there was a real waste of money.
A total of four million stones. Even if I can do tricks, I will still die of exhaustion on the stage, right?
With such a big hole and such shortfalls, how can I smooth out these bad debts without an economic crisis?
Instead of passively waiting for trouble to happen, it is better to take action and put the shortfall on others, letting the small investors who speculate in stocks bear the responsibility.
You don’t have to worry too much, the greedy Kanto people have sent us guaranteed funds to maintain stability.
They were so powerful, they actually bribed the Wu Family Giri Promotion Association, formulated a water conservancy project plan worth twenty million koku over ten years, and defrauded so much money from the Kanto temple forces.
As of the beginning of this spring, the total investment has reached 300,000 yuan. As long as the deception is done well, we can defraud them of at least 500,000 to 600,000 yuan this year and next."
Imai Munehisa smiled bitterly and shook his head.
"Two years of lies?"
Takada Yangno nodded.
"Yes, even if you lie to them for two years, the Hokurikudo Trading Route stock price must remain volatile for two years. It can fall slowly, but it cannot collapse immediately.
We use good news to stimulate small investors, and use Guandong's 500,000 to 600,000 yuan to fill the hole. If the two work together to protect the market, it will take at least a year and a half.
Hanzawa Naoyi's mad dog was suppressed by Yukino, and he agreed to live an honest life in Tamon Mountain Castle for one year.
After suffering this loss, she will not come to Sakai Port to touch my iron wall again. I left her some clues and she has decided to go to Kanto to find a breakthrough.
She thought she could find conclusive evidence of me in Kanto, but when she got there, she would only find a bigger hole.
I believe that Naoyoshi Hanzawa, who is upright and upright, will not compromise. She will definitely tear off the fig leaf of the Kanto people and expose the bad debts there to the saint. That is my best chance to burst the bubble.
If Kanto is corrupted, the Sage will not allow Kinki's economy to have another big problem, and Hanzawa Naoyoshi will be suppressed and will no longer be a threat to me.
But the people of Guandong have too much time to take care of themselves, and the funds from Guandong will disappear in the plummeting stocks. They help me fill the hole, and I can’t even get the money back.”
Imai Munehisa said bitterly.
"With this economic chaos, I don't know how many businesses will go bankrupt in Sakai Port, I don't know how many people will jump into the river in Kinki, and there will probably be rivers of blood in Kanto, right?"
Takata Yono shook his head and said.
"I have no choice, and I don't want to do it, but if they don't die for me, I will die myself.
Behind the mad dog Hansawa Naoyoshi is the support of Ii Naomasa, the central minister in charge of supervision, and behind Ii Naomasa is the support of the chief of the Tongxinzhong of Kamao clan.
The Tongxin Secretariat has long disliked me. The economic power of the entire Spo family and even the relevant allies' sphere of influence has fallen into my hands. Those in the center have always wanted to take away my power.
But this is the territory that I have worked so hard to gain. I am loyal to the saint. I will give the saint whatever he wants. What will I not do?
Can Naomasa Ii, Kamao Clan, and the others be able to fill the four-million-koku hole? They don’t have the ability!
Only I! Only I, Takada Yono, sitting in this position and holding this power, can settle all this!
As long as I can successfully survive this cruel economic crisis, my position will become more stable, and the Tongxin Secretariat will never dare to attack me casually again!
The saints will rely on me, and the retainers will fear me. As for those annoying dead women, they can't do anything to me and can do nothing to me!"
Imai Sokyu watched with trepidation as Takada Harano got angry. She did not dare to take on such a topic that involved the saint's personal feelings.
Takada Harano realized that he had lost his composure, took a deep breath, and returned to his normal smile.
"You can just go ahead and maintain the stock price, ensure that we can ship at a high level, and slowly distribute the stocks to small investors within a year and a half.
If you encounter a sharp decline, you will use favorable conditions to stimulate the market. Coupled with the five or six million Guan people from Guandong to protect the market, I believe you can operate the market stably."
Imai Munehisa nodded and asked.
"What happens after that? After the economic crisis, everything is devastated. How do we rebuild market confidence?"
Takada Haruno smiled.
"You can never cut off leeks. As long as people are still greedy, I guarantee that I can trick them back again.
The Tokaido Trading Road is reopened, but it is still dominated by the Shiba family. The Hokuriku Road Trading Road and the Tokaido Trading Road will be merged into a new trading road stock, taking over the total market of Kanto and Kansai 5 million.
The stock price of Hokurikudo Shoroji fell below 2 million yuan. When the market sentiment was completely desperate, we started to eat up the funds we cashed out and bought at low prices.
Then they announced the news of New Shanglu stock. There is a logistics market of 5 million guan in Kanto and Kansai. The value of 2 million guan of New Shanglu stock is greatly underestimated, and there will definitely be a surge.
In addition, the Nanman general agent just appointed by the saint is negotiating with the Portuguese.
If more Chinese goods can be bought at lower prices through the newly opened Macao window by the Portuguese, more goods will enter the island country, and the 5 million-ton logistics market will further grow.
The intrinsic value of Xinshanglu's stock has exceeded 5 million guan, and the stock price of only 2 million guan is simply a free gift, which will inevitably attract funds to enter the market and rush for it.
In the face of profit, everyone will heal their scars and forget about the pain, invest money again, help me carry the sedan chair, and further prosper the Sibo family's economy.
And I will become the heroine who turns the tide in the darkest moment of the economic crisis, the Goddess of Wealth of the Shiba family, and lead the reconstruction of the destroyed economic order in Kinki. I will be the object of everyone's adulation.
Even if you are a saint, you will no longer ignore me. You will definitely value me more, pay attention to me, and care about me.
dont you agree?"
Seeing Takada Harano, who had unknowingly become excited again, with a slightly distorted expression, staring at him, Imai Munehisa was like a poor mouse being stared at by a snake, too scared to move.
Cold sweat dripped down her head, and she kept nodding.
"Hi, hi, hi."
Imai Munehisa said "hi" three times in a row without daring to say a single unnecessary word.
Ever since the saint set foot on the Shinto path, the idea of being a descendant of the gods has been widely spread throughout the land of Kinki.
The direct descendants of Kawachi Genji are no longer the top nobles of the island country, and the future world must belong to the descendants of Shiba.
In this political atmosphere, discussing the personal emotional issues of saints has become extremely sensitive.
Imai Munehisa was just a merchant.
Even if she is lucky enough to be promoted to the samurai class, even if she is Takada Haruno's right-hand man, a powerful person who can shake Sakai Port by just stamping her feet, she will not dare to say a word on this issue.
Except for the saint and his women, who dares to be blind about the god's descendants? At the risk of his life?