Chapter 681: Calculation of winning rate? Report: Your entire army was wiped out
Chapter 681: Calculation of winning rate? Report: Your entire army was wiped out
The point is, why did the Tsing Yi Army appear in the rear?
Isn't the only entrance into the southern province the road you are guarding?
Thinking of this, Elder Ziniu came back to his senses instantly, vaguely thought of a possibility, and immediately gritted his teeth and said:
"They must have used the teleportation contract ability!"
"Even if Pandora's half-spirit takes action, it's impossible for so many Tsing Yi Army Gods to fly to the rear without anyone noticing."
Hearing this, all the legion commanders immediately understood what Elder Ziniu meant. Indeed, even if half-spirits can fly in the air, they cannot bring too many people to break away from Rodinia's gravity at the same time. The other party must have used it.
Teleportation contract items.
The first thing that comes to everyone's mind is Pandora. This is not their fault. The only known large-scale teleportation array on the mainland is Pandora's headquarters on Ayerkula Island.
The leader of the Fourth Legion cursed: "Pandora never opens its teleportation array to the outside world. Even Pandora's headquarters never allows outsiders to enter. I didn't expect that in order to join forces to attack us Hessians, Pandora actually helped the Federation teleport troops. This collusion is simply shocking.
Shameless!"
The commander of the Sixth Army touched his beard and corrected him in a deep voice:
"This is biased. I don't think it's an accident."
"Pandora has been integrated with the Federation for a long time. Now that we have to face such a powerful enemy like us, of course we have to join forces to keep warm and do whatever we can! You know, if they don't unite together, they will be wiped out by the Hesse people.
Annihilate.”
If you feel good about yourself, it won't matter in normal times, because Elder Ziniu usually thinks so too. He believes that his ten legions are enough to dominate the world. It is not difficult to overthrow a small federation, and it is easy to overthrow a Pandora.
Did it.
But just today, two entire elite cavalry regiments were lost in a single encounter, and not even a shadow of the enemy could be touched. Now, the Tsing Yi Army suddenly appeared in the rear and exchanged fire with four reinforcements. This has already made Zi
Elder Niu's originally rock-solid self-confidence was shaken. Hearing that the commander of the Fourth Army was still analyzing the battle situation but boasting regardless of the real situation still felt a bit prickly.
Elder Ziniu stretched out his hand and knocked on the table, signaling to the commander of the Fourth Army and a senior staff officer beside him to calm down, frowning and saying:
"Contact the legions behind you quickly. What happened?"
The subordinate in charge of liaison immediately took action and ordered the communication squad in charge of the radio station to contact the rear. At the same time, he took out the contract items he carried with him and kept calling.
Although the Hesse Legion is not equipped with a large number of extraordinary powers, basic communication can still be equipped with contract items, which is not difficult.
While waiting for the results, Commander Hesse Elder Ziniu couldn't help but sigh:
"If we really encounter the Tsing Yi Army, if they really teleport to the rear, they will definitely ambush our four legions. In this case, our situation will be in jeopardy!"
Hearing Elder Ziniu suddenly say this, several high-ranking officers all looked over.
Elder Ziniu pointed to the sand table in front of him, which was exactly where they were currently:
"If the four legions supported by the rear are defeated, then the enemy will inevitably attack back and form a double-team with the current frontline position!"
"Now we have lost the 1st and 2nd Cavalry Regiments, and the other regiments have also suffered casualties. Once we are trapped here by both sides, there will be no way to escape. You must know that the supply lines to our rear have been cut off."
When Elder Ziniu said this, his face was as gloomy as water, and his eyes were fixed on the southern slope of the Kassam Plain where the army is currently stationed, as if he had foreseen what would happen in the near future and saw the future situation he would face.
.
Unexpectedly, this analysis that was more in line with the facts was not recognized by the army commanders.
The commander of the Fourth Army shook his head. Although he still remained respectful, he still put forward a different view:
"Commander, don't panic. Even if we are trapped here, the situation may not be so bad. The situation you mentioned should be the worst situation, but we may not really fall into this situation."
After clearing his throat, the commander of the Fourth Army made preparations and performed the Hesse etiquette to Elder Ziniu, and said in a solemn tone:
"Commander, please don't underestimate us Hesse Warriors. With my fourth firepower corps here, why should we fear being surrounded by mere Tsing Yi troops?"
"We Hesse warriors are all equal to ten, and they can't do anything to us after surrounding us. Haha, as long as I have a defense line set up by two hundred heavy machine guns of the Fourth Army, it will be in vain even if the number of their Tsing Yi soldiers is ten times greater!
"
Elder Ziniu originally thought he had some good ideas, but he didn't expect that the Hesse people were still invincible. However, this time the target of praise was specifically his own legion, and he suddenly felt a chill in his heart.
But before he had time to speak, the commanders of the Sixth Army and the Seventh Army also gave their opinions.
The commander of the Sixth Army met with the Commander of the Fourth Army and opened up an awkward situation. He followed his words and conducted an in-depth "analysis"
"Your Majesty, there is no need to worry too much. What the commander of the Fourth Army said makes sense, and based on my analysis, the situation is really not as bad as you think."
"According to the algorithm that I, the Hesse people, are used to, this should be the calculation logic. Well, first of all, there was indeed a battle in the rear, but did it have to be with the Tsing Yi Army? I think there is at least a 10% chance that it is not, Shan
It is possible for thieves and grass bandits to rebel against the villages of our southern tribe, so the 10% probability is reasonable. Of course, it is most likely that they were ambushed by the Tsing Yi Army, so the probability is about 90%. Although this number
It’s an estimate below, but it’s very close to the facts.”
"Secondly, even if we are really ambushed by the Tsing Yi Legion, will the four legions we support definitely lose? I still think it needs to be studied. You know, we are four reorganized legions, with a number of not only more than 50,000, but also
It is a team with excellent weapons, well-trained soldiers, and they are all composed of my dignified Hessey men. In this case"
"Even if Tsing Yi really plays a trick and uses the contract ability to send the main force to the rear to ambush our reinforcements, haha, how many people are there in the Tsing Yi Expeditionary Army? They are all a miscellaneous team composed of security officers from various places, and they formed the army relatively late.
Now there are only about 30,000 people at most. Believe me, I swear in the name of the Ox God that their number will never exceed 30,000!"
"There are at least five to six thousand defenders in the position here. How many people can they use? Twenty thousand? Or even less? Facing my well-equipped reinforcements of fifty thousand, can they get an advantage in a sneak attack?"
"My subordinates feel that our winning rate may be higher. Fifty thousand against twenty thousand. Even if they attack by surprise, our reinforcements will counterattack as soon as possible. Moreover, the final victory may be ours."
of!"
"Thirty percent, I think there is at least a 30% probability that we defeat them minus 90% minus 30%. Then the probability of encountering a worse outcome is 60%."
Coughing twice, the commander of the Sixth Army continued to calculate: "Well, even if there is a 60% chance that our reinforcements will be defeated, don't forget that the enemy defeated our 50,000 army with 20,000 people. Haha, how could they?
Will there be any casualties?"
"I think that more than half of their losses are optimistic. In other words, according to conservative estimates, there is a 30% chance that they are already a remnant army that has experienced brutal battles before winning. Do you understand?"
"Sixty percent minus 30%, and there is still 30%. Haha, Commander-in-Chief, the probability of the most difficult situation you mentioned before is only 30%. In fact, it is not high, and"
At this point, the commander of the Sixth Army seemed to have used his imagination to the extreme. He felt that it was more difficult to find suitable arguments to prove his argument. He took a long breath and then continued to pause to clarify.
Idea:
"There is a 30% chance that we will be flanked here by both sides. However, this still does not mean that we will be completely annihilated. The commander of the Fourth Army has said that, apart from our several legions, the firepower of the Fourth Army is indeed extremely powerful.
, even any other three legions combined cannot match it, which means that the probability that the enemy can trap us here and annihilate us is even lower. Well, let’s conservatively calculate it, 10%!”
"In addition, the enemy encircling us makes me think about it! You know, they defeated our 50,000 reinforcements, but they are in our southern province. The commander-in-chief is worried that we will lose our rear supplies after being encircled. Could it be that they
Will people be able to get supplies?”
"Obviously it won't work! Subtract another 10%."
"30% minus 20%, there is still a 10% probability. Commander, the bad outcome you are worried about only has a 10% probability. Isn't the probability very low? This is because I calculated everything conservatively, with a slight exaggeration.
If the results in any aspect can be slightly more optimistic, the probability will still be discounted, and we will almost never suffer the situation you mentioned."
After this analysis, it can be said to be "reasonable and well-founded". It actually made Elder Ziniu confused. Although he felt that something was wrong, he couldn't find anything obvious from the calculation process of the commander of the Sixth Army.
Bug opened his mouth, but no words came out.
The commander of the Seventh Army next to him immediately slapped his hands: "Wonderful! The Commander of the Sixth Army is really a genius!"
The commander of the Sixth Army nodded and said modestly: "It's nothing. The whole continent knows that we Hesse people are the smartest nation, especially in mathematics!"
"Yeah!" the commander of the Seventh Army agreed: "I will be the one to make the final finishing touches. Well, there is still a 10% chance of taking over, sir. I think that even if I really suffer the consequences of being attacked from both sides,"
"You know, our vanguard has a full six legions, 70,000 troops! Although we lost two legions in the first round of the battle yesterday, our main force is still there. The fourth, sixth, seventh and ninth legions are just
We suffered the initial bombardment and suffered a few casualties. Well, we still have more than 40,000 Hesse warriors!"
"Even if it is a flanking attack, how many troops does the Tsing Yi Expeditionary Force have? At most 20,000 people? 20,000 people flank 40,000 people. Do you think they are overconfident in their combat power?"
"Sure enough, Marshal Xue Chang, the federal army haha, they don't have the habit of being modest and cautious like us Hesse people, they always think of themselves as powerful!"
"In this way, the final 10% probability can be subtracted! The result becomes zero. What does zero mean? Mathematically, zero means non-existence. Haha, Commander-in-Chief, the result you are worried about. Here we will be
The probability of being double-teamed and annihilated is zero!"
As soon as he said this, an optimistic atmosphere suddenly filled the entire headquarters tent, and several other high-ranking officers clasped their hands and laughed, expressing their approval.
"Our Hesse Army will definitely stand firm. What the two army commanders are saying is, how can the Federal Tsing Yi Army be our opponent!"
"Of course, they don't understand the modesty of the Hesse people. We lost to them yesterday because they used conspiracy and tricks. Haha, in a head-to-head confrontation, our one legion will make them cry for their father and mother!"
"Our Hesse reinforcements will definitely be able to clear the obstacles and completely defeat the opponent's shameless sneak attack. It will be dawn in two hours. Haha, let's prepare to welcome the warriors of the four supporting legions."
"The forces of our two sides have merged. A hundred thousand troops will defeat the Tsing Yi Army tomorrow and attack Ya'an City."
In the peaceful atmosphere, Elder Ziniu felt his heart twitching suddenly.
As the supreme commander of the Hesse Army, he is not the kind of person who is simply stubborn and knows very well that arrogant soldiers will inevitably lose.
Although he had a wrong understanding, he did not hesitate to disobey the order of the priest, privately mobilized the legions and fired the first shot of the war, but this was only because of the inherent self-confidence of the Hesse people, so he came to the conclusion that he would definitely
Defeat the enemy's misconceptions.
After yesterday's fiasco and the incident just now, Elder Ziniu has begun to fall into doubts and begins to feel that he may have misjudged the current battle situation and underestimated his opponents. He gradually feels that he and these capable men have been living in self-comfort.
in proud fantasy.
The crisis that was originally proposed turned into an extremely optimistic ending under the quarrel between a group of people. This made Elder Ziniu even more convinced that this was not his illusion, but the truth.
These guys are just trying to comfort themselves. After first confirming that their side will win, they then find various reasons to prove their wrong arguments.
For a moment, he was filled with anger.
You know, this is war, this is equivalent to the chance of war that he gained by betting his life against Master Wu Niu Sacrifice, and every wrong judgment in battle is at the cost of the lives of his soldiers!
Now, are you still doing this kind of unnecessary self-comfort?
Elder Ziniu was just about to slam the table and angrily scold everyone, but he heard the messenger rushing into the tent.
"Report, Commander!"
"No one answered the communication about the contracted items, but I have contacted them over the radio. What's strange is that the person who answered over there doesn't seem to be one of us."
"The other side said that all your reinforcements have been wiped out."
