When it comes to personnel arrangements for kick-offs, it is indeed a science.
Taking the recent European Cup final as an example, a study commissioned by the Football Association of England found that the best order for taking penalty kicks is not to put the best player last, but first.
Therefore, Southgate let Kane play first. Based on this arrangement, no matter who Southgate picks in fifth place, it will not be one of his best choices.
On the contrary, Italy's top penalty kicker Jorginho was arranged to take the fifth penalty kick. (Kane's penalty kick success rate in the Premier League is as high as 89%, while Jorginho's penalty kick success rate in the Premier League is as high as 89%.
85%, Kane slightly better by 4 percentage points.)
At the same time, combined with the situation of the game at that time, it is not difficult to see that England's idea of a penalty shootout is to rank players with strong penalty kick ability at the front.
This kind of thinking actually makes sense. Because to put it bluntly, a penalty shootout is a game where you need to seize the opportunity and then wait for the other party to make a mistake.
Once the players in front fail to make a free throw, the pressure from behind will be accumulated on the players and goalkeepers who come on later.
This should be England's plan to put good penalty takers in front, make sure they don't make mistakes and try to score as many points as possible, and then wait for the opponent to make mistakes.
Judging from the competition, this plan was successful for a time...
Belotti, who played in the second round of Italy, missed the penalty kick, and Maguire made a solid penalty kick. At that time, England had a one-point advantage... If Rashford can make the third
If a penalty kick had been scored, the whole trend might have been different.
In this game, England's penalty takers in the first five rounds were Kane, Maguire, Rashford, Sancho and Saka in order.
The 19-year-old Saka was appointed as the fifth player in the penalty shootout, which caused controversy after the game.
Why did Southgate dare to let the 19-year-old take the position? Why didn't Sancho and Rashford, who came up specifically to take penalty kicks, play the fifth position?
In fact, in this penalty shootout, everyone overlooked one thing: England was the last team to take penalty kicks in this game. Among the last penalty kickers, taking the fifth penalty carries a considerable risk of not having a chance to play.
In other words, in comparison, the fifth penalty kicker is actually not as important as the fourth.
Because aside from the most extreme situation where all the first three shots are missed and the opponent scores all the shots, it is a high probability that the team can survive until the fourth round of the penalty shootout, and the fourth penalty kicker who takes the last penalty will have a great degree of influence.
It determines whether the team can survive until the fifth player comes on the field.
Even if the fourth round starts with the same number of points, once the player of the first penalty team scores two penalty kicks in the fourth and fifth rounds, and the second penalty team misses the penalty in the fourth round, then the penalty kick of the second penalty team will be
The fifth strongest player on the ball can't even appear on the field.
The most classic example is the 1976 European Cup final, which was the only time the German team lost in a penalty shootout.
Uli Hoeness, who played in the fourth round of the West German team, missed the ball in the penalty shootout, and Panenka, the Czech team who played next, used a spoon penalty kick to let the Czech team dominate Europe. As the West German team
The fifth penalty taker, football emperor Beckenbauer, had no chance to play at all.
In a penalty shootout, after the order of penalty kicks is determined first, the captains of both sides decide which team will kick first by choosing the front and back of the coin.
That is to say, when deciding on the penalty list, you don't know whether the team will take the penalty first or last. And if you don't know whether the team will take the penalty first, there is a risk that you will not have a chance to play the fifth penalty.
For another example, in the 2012 European Cup semi-finals and the 2017 Confederations Cup semi-finals, Portugal was the last penalty kicker, and Ronaldo, who was the fifth penalty kicker in these two games, did not play.
Under the circumstances, he was eliminated.
What's even more interesting is that as long as Ronaldo participates in penalty kicks in the national team, Portugal will win the penalty shootout in the end.
Some people may also argue that the player who takes the penalty first in the penalty shootout will have less pressure because he may have a chance to make up for it later, or should the strongest penalty kicker be left behind.
But in fact, in the first five rounds of penalty shootouts, every point is very important. Once you fall behind in the penalty shootout, you lose the initiative from that moment on.
Moreover, the pressure on the player who takes the first penalty is actually very high. Unless the opponent does not score a penalty kick in the first round, if you miss the penalty kick in the first round, it will directly affect your teammates who take the penalty kick later.
And the goalkeeper, putting huge pressure on them.
Messi is always the first to appear in penalty shootouts, probably for this reason.
At the same time, every free throw taken by the teammate in front will also change the situation faced by the penalty kicker behind. If you place the more capable penalty kicker in the front, you can actually create the best possible situation for the teammates behind you.
Take the penalty kick in this European Cup final as an example. In the third round, Rashford actually faced the least pressure because England had a point advantage at the time.
When it was Sancho's turn, England had no advantage. Sancho needed to score a penalty kick in order to catch Italy. But if he didn't score a penalty kick, England would not be out immediately. They still had to see Italy's fifth
The free throw situation of the round.
When Saka arrived, he faced the worst situation. He needed to score a penalty kick for England to continue. Moreover, the two previous teammates also missed penalty kicks.
The 1994 World Cup that everyone is familiar with.
Baggio unfortunately missed the penalty kick, allowing Italy to go home, but the first person to dig a hole for the team was actually the old captain Baresi who missed the penalty kick in the first round... and then came the fourth appearance.
Massaro missed the penalty kick.
When it was Baggio's turn, he was faced with a situation that was already a matter of achievement. You must know that winning by scoring a goal and continuing by scoring a goal are two completely different situations.
When it comes to the penalty shootout, it's actually a matter of fate. No one knows what will happen under heavy pressure. Who will make a penalty kick, who will miss it, whether the goalkeeper can save the penalty kick, and who will.
There is no guarantee 100%.
So in summary, if you don't have many penalty kickers in your team, and you place your best penalty kicker in the fifth round, then this decision is actually a bad one.
Because as I said before, you didn’t know clearly when deciding on the penalty list.
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It depends on whether the team takes the penalty first or later. And if it is not clear whether the team takes the penalty first or not, there is a risk that the team will not have a chance to play with the fifth penalty.
In the case where there are not many penalty kickers, it is actually a safer way to arrange the best penalty kicker to take the first or fourth penalty. Because as mentioned above, leaving aside the most extreme situation, the penalty shootout is ongoing.
The fourth round is actually a high probability event.
If the team leads in points in the fourth round, then the fourth penalty is likely to end. If in the fourth penalty, the team is behind in points but did not lose, then the fourth penalty will determine whether the team can survive until the third round.
Five rounds.
After all, the fourth round must be passed before the fifth round.
Penalty kicks are the key to nail-biting World Cup matches, giving shooters an advantage as they can fire a crucial shot from 12 yards away at speeds of up to 80 mph. Here's how goalkeepers can use psychological tactics
way to defeat your opponent.
The penalty shootout that determines the outcome of the World Cup football match may be selected as one of the most intense and nerve-wracking moments in sports. If the two teams are tied after the World Cup knockout round, the result of the game will be determined by 5 alternating penalty kicks.
, if necessary, more penalties will be taken to determine the outcome.
The defense of world-class football is so airtight that four of the past six World Cup finals have gone to extra time, with both 1994 and 2006 being decided on penalties.
Champion. In the penalty shootout, the advantage will be transferred to the shooter. If the goalkeeper can hold on to a goal or allow the shooter to miss a key goal, it often determines the outcome of the game.
A study of 138 penalties in World Cup finals from 1982 to 1994 showed that even world-class goalkeepers couldn't beat the odds of a goal. They guessed the ball only 41 percent of the time.
direction - this is lower than random probability. In the end, they were able to prevent only 14.5% of the goals.
A 1997 rule change aimed at giving goalkeepers a better chance of saving penalties in shootouts may actually make things worse for goalkeepers. Until then, goalkeepers must remain still
In the center of the goal until the ball is kicked out. The rule change allows goalkeepers to move from side to side at will, although they are still not allowed to move towards the shooter.
Nearly a decade ago, this rule change triggered a devastating move known to shooters as the "paradinha," or "paradinha," in which Brazil's best penalty takers were able to do a double-take at penalty kicks.
Action, sometimes even a fake kick, trying to make the goalkeeper make a misjudgment in the wrong direction.
FIFA, the international football governing body, further stated the penalty kick rules in 2010:
"It is allowed to feint a penalty kick in the preparation phase to confuse the opponent, but once the player has completed his run-up and then pretends to kick the ball, it is considered a violation of Article 14 of the law and is an unfair behavior.
Must be warned."
A British researcher believes that in such high-pressure situations, shooters should completely ignore the goalkeeper. In an article published in the Journal of Sports Science, psychologist Greg Wood of the University of Exeter gathered 18 university students.
football players, equipped with devices that track their eye movements. A shooter who focuses on the goalkeeper is 40% likely to miss a penalty kick, while a calm shooter who is able to ignore the goalkeeper is only 20% likely to miss.
"When players feel anxious, they are more likely to worry about the goalkeeper," he told The Guardian, adding that goalkeepers can enhance this anxiety effect by distracting shooters and, in penalty shootouts,
For example, he did a leg-swinging dance in the 1984 European Cup, and Liverpool's jerzydudek, who waved his arms in the 2005 European Cup final, all played a role in enhancing the shooter's anxiety.
Effect.
"If the goalkeeper can make himself more intimidating," Wood said, "he's likely to further draw the kicker's attention."
Another famous example of cheating was in the 2008 Champions League final, when Manchester United's Edwin Vandersar pointed to the left, the direction of Chelsea's previous penalty kick, to induce Anelka to shoot to the right. A goalkeeper like Edwin Vandersar will also study every potential move before the game.
The tendencies of shooters and the direction they prefer to shoot.
The above is some knowledge that Lu Yao could think of about penalty kicks when he closed his eyes and thought about it. Obviously, in the process of penalty kicks, body and technology are important, but knowing how to arrange the formation and how to confuse the opponent is more important.
If something is not done well, it is likely to be counterproductive.
Pan Wen, Cao You and Yang Tao, who had been standing next to Lu Yao just now, originally wanted to ask Lu Yao during the penalty shootout, but seeing that Lu Yao seemed to be thinking, the three of them were very sensible and did not speak.
, now seeing Lu Yao come back to his senses. The two men had not spoken yet, but the straight-tempered Pan Wen was the first to ask.
Pan Wen looked at Lu Yao and said, "I said, the manuscript you gave us seems to have introduced relatively little knowledge about penalty kicks."
The other leaders also nodded. Although no one would be convinced that Pan Wen is the most powerful among these leaders, but when it comes to his level of investment in this new Cuju competition, there are also
Regarding the mastery and memory of the manuscripts given by Lu Yao, even Cao You should have thought that Pan Wen would be the first. Since Pan Wen said so, it means that Lu Yao is indeed accurate in the manuscripts he was given.
There are relatively few records on ball.
Lu Yao looked at everyone and said: "Yes, I should be blamed for this. First of all, I don't think there will be a penalty kick in this game. After all, each of our eight teams is very strong.
, and each has its own style, and the difference is huge. In this case, the probability of entering the penalty shootout is very small. Secondly, the time is really not enough. If I really write about everything about the penalty shootout,
It will take me a lot of time to write the manuscript. As you all know, I have been preparing for the imperial examination. After the examination is over, even if I write it out, I don’t think you will have enough time to do it.
Learn it and master it.”
Several other leaders
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Everyone nodded. Indeed, after the warm-up match, except for the Huangtian team, they couldn't even find a training venue, let alone delve into relevant knowledge about penalty kicks.
Lu Yao continued: "However, through this game, I also understand a lot. If we only rely on the manuscripts I gave you to compete, I dare to conclude that this team will not be able to win the final
The winner. If nothing else, just take this game and see that the Huangtian team's double forward tactic was developed by them themselves. As the captain and coach, Wang Da did a relatively good job in this aspect.
I very much hope that you can come up with something that I haven't thought of, or something that I haven't written in the manuscript. Usually, this kind of thing will really become your trump card, and you can use it as your own weapon in the competition to win.
Therefore, today's game between the Grassroots team and the Huangtian team has entered a penalty shootout. The real test is the ability of the coaches of their two teams. Look at their on-the-spot command ability. Facing a player that I don't have
Tell them the link and how to win. This is what coaches and you leaders should do."
Lu Yao's words made everyone present fall silent. Indeed, they had relied too much on the manuscripts given by Lu Yao before. All tactics, lineups and training were based on what Lu Yao had given them.
Designed, if nothing else, for this penalty shootout, if it was really me who was playing on the field today, could I really design a perfect set of countermeasures like Chen Chen? Regarding Lu Yao's manuscript
Compared with the situation of other teams, can I create an original formation similar to the two-forward strategy of the Royal Sky Team? Thinking of this, everyone sighed and looked a little discouraged.
Seeing this, Lu Yao also knew that what he had just said might have been a bit harsh, and then said: "Don't be discouraged, everyone. You haven't been able to get field training these days. You only have basic running and physical training. You can't think of anything new."
It’s normal for things to come up. This kind of tactic often only appears during field training, and will be tested directly based on the venue. The reason why the Huangtian team can come up with such a tactic is because of the Wenyuan team.
Zhuyu of the core trio is in front, and secondly, it’s because they do have unique conditions for training. They are the only ones who have the right to use the training ground in the palace, so it is understandable that they are ahead of you in this aspect."
Hearing what Lu Yao said, everyone relaxed. Cao You on the side said: "Fortunately, none of our games are on the first day. Each team has half a day before the game. I think
, the teams that play further back can come up with new things, and training on this venue may inspire more ideas."
Hearing this, Pan Wen also said that after watching the game today, he was already a little excited and excited, and he couldn't wait to start the game for his Fanlou team right away. As his opponent, Yang Tao naturally thought so too. Obviously, today,
This fierce competition can be said to have aroused the enthusiasm of all team leaders. Even Gu Liang, who had maintained order on the sidelines before, after calming the people's emotions, handed over the work at hand to the people below, while he
He just sat there and watched the game. After all, although Han Qi went to the border to deal with matters between Song and Xia, he also handed the Goshawk team into his own hands before leaving, so he would naturally be responsible to the end.
At this time, there was no one on the field. Before the penalty shootout started, according to the rules set by Lu Yao, each team would have a quarter of an hour of rest. In the last three minutes of overtime, whether it was the Huangtian team or the grassroots team,
The teams have exerted their maximum energy, so both sides are now in an exhausted state. However, Zhe Katsuyuki knows that this situation is exactly what Chen Chen wants. The two sides are now on the same starting line. Originally, he did not think that the grassroots team could do it.
Yes, but it turns out that the grassroots team did drag the game to a penalty shootout. This is an unknown field for both teams. In addition to the normal penalty shootout rules written by Lu Yao, for
Arrangement of troops, how to arrange the order of free throw shooters, and guessing the opponent's psychology are all a test.
Even the referee trio of Zhan Zhao, Bao Zheng, and Gongsun Ce rushed to the rest area after the overtime and asked someone to explain the rules of the penalty shootout. This was their first time explaining an official game.
, it was time for the penalty shootout. Although they had already understood all the rules of the new Cuju competition and knew them by heart, such an exciting game required a lot of physical exertion for them as referees. This shows that
At that time, I felt that my head was a little heavy, so I took advantage of the break to review the rules of the penalty shootout.
Chen Chen and Wang Da took their teams back to the rest area. This would be their last group discussion time for this competition, which only lasted fifteen minutes.
Because neither side understands the tactics and psychological aspects of a penalty shootout, what they can actually do more is to analyze the shooting habits of the opponent's offensive players through this 120-minute game, and then master the
The opponent's goalkeeper's positioning and his habit of making saves.
"First of all, we have to put players with good mentality in front to take penalty kicks. Regardless of whether they were substituted during midfield or not, I decided to send the five players who I think have the best shots to take penalty kicks and strive to win the penalty kicks in the fifth.
Solve the battle within one goal." This is what Chen Chen said to the players. Since it is a penalty shootout, it is not just a competition among the players on the field. The four people who were just replaced are also on the list of penalty kicks.
It can be placed directly in front to take a penalty kick. Afterwards, Chen Chen analyzed the Huangtian team's goalkeeper's throwing habits and his weaknesses with the players.
However, Chen Chen never said a word to his goalkeeper. After he and his team members made the tactical arrangements, Chen Chen walked to the goalkeeper and said, "Just try your best.
Don’t think about saving every ball, we believe in you.”
Indeed, no matter how much you say at this time, it will put pressure on the goalkeeper, and there is no need to correct his throwing habits. What you have to do at this time is to believe in your own players, which is what Chen Chen did.
On the other side, the Huangtian team was also in the midst of a tense meeting. Unlike the Grassroots team, Wang Yi spent the first half observing from the sidelines, so he might have a more thorough understanding of the opponent's situation from an overall perspective.
Soon after, it seemed that both teams had decided on their personnel arrangements and entered a short break.