Having said this, Yang Zhen shook his head and pointed at the situation between the enemy and ourselves on the map: "In this battle, our army has not invested many troops in northern Shanxi. Moreover, all participating ministries have gone through long and hard battles. Especially those who participated in the Battle of Datong
The number of casualties among the troops is not light."
"Now none of the troops participating in the war in northern Shanxi are at full strength, and the casualties among the lightest are only 80%. The current strength of the heaviest division is only 60% of its full strength. Even if one of Du Kaishan's troops who went south is added
The division, on the surface, consists of six and a half infantry divisions, one tank division, three cavalry brigades, and one tank brigade. It has an absolute advantage in terms of strength, equipment, and firepower."
"But in fact, excluding the number of casualties, the existing infantry force can only have four divisions, which is already the limit. Cavalry and armored forces are not good at mountain combat. But the entire battlefield is mainly mountainous. Highways
Not to mention limited, and most of them are in tatters. The entire Shanxi battlefield mainly relies on infantry."
"We still need to dedicate part of our troops to clear out the remaining enemies in Chahar and Suiyuan, and leave troops to defend the rear. In fact, without the cooperation of internal troops, it is difficult for our army to guarantee northern Shanxi with its existing troops.
Absolute control of the battlefield. The Japanese army has one division and two brigades in northeastern Shanxi. Unless our army does not defend in depth, its advantage in strength is not obvious."
"If we add the Japanese 21st Division and the 15th Division at the junction of Shanxi and Hebei provinces, as well as the 32nd Division and the 41st Division under Taiyuan City, the total strength of our army will be
Taken together, in terms of the number that can be mobilized, it is even less than the Japanese army we are facing. Although we have an absolute advantage in firepower, our army's advantage is not obvious in terms of large-caliber artillery."
"The most obvious aspect of our army is tanks. However, the terrain in Shanxi is not suitable for the large-scale use of armored forces in combat. The light troops within the Pass are what we urgently need most. Especially in mountain warfare, we urgently need the brother troops within the Pass.
cooperation.”
"The mountains, rivers, geography and people's sentiments in northern Shanxi and even Shanxi are all in their hearts. We are not familiar with the place. Without the cooperation of the brothers in the pass, we may not be able to support ourselves. Lao Guo, Okamura Neji
At this juncture, focusing the attack on the various bases behind enemy lines in Shanxi will be a real blow to us."
"If the Japanese army really turns around and plays this trick with us to besiege Wei and save Zhao, that will be our biggest headache. Lao Guo, we are not the only ones who will besiege Wei and save Zhao. Okamura Neji, a China expert, will not understand this truth.
.Without the support of the customs troops, it will be difficult to solve the problem in a short time relying on our own strength alone."
"What I am most worried about now is not only that the Japanese army will help us to besiege Wei and rescue Zhao, but what I am even more worried about is that the Zuojian detachment of the Japanese army is just a cover between Shenchi and Ningwu, and the real troops have been secretly transferred to Xingxian to siege Shanxi.
The headquarters of the Sui Border Region and the Shanxi-Sui Military Region are located here, and we are looking for opportunities to attack northern Shaanxi and capture our army's most fatal weakness."
"The main force of the Jinsui Military Region was still fighting in Baotou. Although our army is successively rushing to transport goods, it will take some time to launch the entire line from Datong to northwest Shanxi as the railway only reaches Datong. Moreover, Jinsui
The main force of the military region is gradually withdrawing to northwest Shanxi, and the Japanese army is not aware of this situation."
"According to their analysis, at this delicate moment, the main force of our Jinsui Military Region is still in the Suixi area to ensure our army's control of Baotou. The entire remaining troops of the Jinsui Military Region were lost in cooperation with Yang Jicai's raid on Taiyuan.
It’s not light either. It can be said that the current defense gate of the Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia Border Region is already open to the Japanese army.”
"As for the existing troops in northern Shaanxi, in addition to dealing with the oppression of the Central Army in Chongqing in the south, a considerable part of the troops had been transferred to the Shanxi-Sui Military Region before the war. The existing troops cannot be deployed on river defense.
The entire Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia Border Region is now extremely empty of troops."
"If the Japanese army forcibly crosses the Yellow River from Xingxian and Liulin and attacks our Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia border region, then in order to protect the security of the central government, our army will inevitably dispatch all troops to the south for rescue. In this way, the Japanese army can not only rely on the favorable terrain along the way to continuously intercept
Our army can also mobilize troops to encircle our army in northwest Shanxi after cutting off our supply lines."
"Judging from the current overall deployment of the Japanese army, this possibility may not be impossible. The 32nd Division has been delayed in moving even though Yang Jicai has withdrawn to Datong and all the Japanese troops in northeastern Shanxi have been deployed. This is undoubtedly very abnormal.
.Even if the division suffered heavy losses due to our bombing, it may not lose its combat effectiveness. It can be said that the Japanese army still has considerable strength on the front line in Taiyuan."
"In addition to the 1st Division of the 41st Division in Linfen and the 1st Division of the 36th Division in Changzhi, although the main force is no longer there, the remaining strength, coupled with the cooperation of the puppet army, can be mobilized to contain a force
Some of the troops living in the Taihang and Taiyue Military Regions still have this ability."
"The puppet army in Shanxi cannot fight hard, but it is still possible to hold on. And now the North China Front Army has transferred a group from the puppet security army, and transferred the troops from Shandong that surrendered to the Japanese army in the original Sulu theater, and reorganized two divisions, specifically
Used to deal with our base areas behind enemy lines."
"I don't know if these people beat others because of their status, but they will never show any mercy in cooperating with the Japanese army to fight against us. They are not like those puppet soldiers in Shanxi, because their families are also here.
Sometimes you don’t dare to go too far.”
"These bastards can't do anything else. Grandma worked very hard when she cooperated with the Japanese army and the Kwantung brothers' troops, which took a lot of energy from the Kwantung troops on the battlefield. These people are not the local puppet troops in Shanxi. They are all under the influence of Wang.
Although the equipment directly commanded by the puppet government is average, its general combat effectiveness is better than that of the local Japanese army in Shanxi."
"Among these former Chongqing's miscellaneous troops, some veterans even served as soldiers during the Central Plains War. The number and the gun in their hands are just a means of making a living for them. More than ten years of warlord fighting have made these
The military quality of people is very high. The military quality of a unit with a mixed military background may not necessarily be really low."
"The Japanese transferred them to Shanxi at this time. Lao Guo, we cannot look at this phenomenon simply. At this time, the Japanese transferred these puppet troops to Shanxi. I am afraid that they are worried that the local puppet troops in Shanxi will leak the news. All of this is
The puppet troops, who are motivated by their own interests, have often had conflicts with the Shandong troops before. I am afraid they will not show mercy to our base areas behind enemy lines."
Regarding Yang Zhen's analysis, Guo Bingxun, who originally focused on the Northeastern battlefield and had not invested much energy in the entire Western Front, walked to the map and looked at the deployment of the Japanese troops in North China. He thought for a long time before saying, "Is this Okamura?"
Is the posture that Neji is putting up now consciously tempting our army to take the initiative?"
"Judging from the current overall situation, if the main force of the Zuojian detachment is still in northwest Shanxi, the Japanese army has deployed a large number of troops on both wings. But the total number of troops added up is not very large. It is just one division and three brigades.
The size of the regiment and the total number of front-line combat troops cannot pose a great threat to our army."
"No. 1, judging from the current comparison of the strength of our army and the Japanese army. Our army's current infantry division is not inferior to the Japanese army's three-unit division without reinforced troops in terms of strength and firepower. Moreover, our army's infantry division is identical from top to bottom.
It has automatic firepower and various small-caliber direct-aiming firepower. It can be said that in terms of infantry weapons, it is even better than an ordinary combat division of the Japanese army."
"Since the start of this battle, our army has been fighting against the North China Front Army for more than a day. He Okamura Neiji should have a good idea of our army's combat effectiveness and equipment. He knows very well that relying solely on the reinforcements that have arrived in southeastern Shanxi can only
It can disperse part of our army's strength."
"If Okamura Neiji wants to use the existing troops in northeastern Shanxi to attract and disperse our existing troops in northern Shanxi, he will concentrate heavy troops and carry out a large-scale raid on our various bases in Shanxi, so as to encircle Wei and rescue Zhao.
The forces are completely dispersed."
"Judging from the current deployment situation of several Japanese divisions, there is indeed this danger. But it is true that the reinforcements mobilized by the Japanese army to northeastern Shanxi can attract the attention of our army. But Okamura Neji
Aren't you afraid that while they are raiding our base areas behind enemy lines, our army will concentrate its superior strength and firepower to take the opportunity to swallow the bait they throw out?"
"At that time, his troops will be scattered in our various bases in Shanxi, and will be dragged by the brother troops in the customs to the Taihang Mountains, Beiyue, and Wutai Mountains. Where can we find reinforcements if we want to rescue him? Is it possible that Okamura Neji is so generous and ignores one of his troops?
Division, the life and death of the two brigades? No. 1, is your idea a little too bold?"
"My opinion is that the Japanese military situation and deployment situation are, firstly, temporarily unable to invest too many troops in the Shanxi battlefield due to supply lines. The current situation is incomparable with that at the beginning of the July 7th Incident, and the Japanese military's hands are too stretched out.
It has been a long time. We are no longer able to implement key support on the Chinese battlefield."
"You also said that the mechanization level of the Japanese army is very low, and its strategic combat operations and logistical supply capabilities are highly dependent on railways and water transportation. It is difficult for the Japanese army's tactical supply capabilities to operate more than three hundred kilometers away from the railway line for a long time.
Insist on fighting in large corps."
"The Zhengtai Railway and Beitongpu Railway were severely damaged and basically unable to be used. The food and ammunition stored in Taiyuan were wiped out by Yang Jicai. All the supplies of the Japanese army could only rely on external transportation.
.With the entire Shanxi railway to the outside world paralyzed, can the Japanese army's existing road transportation capacity meet the needs of such a large number of troops?"
"I think the current posture of the Japanese army is a helpless move under the difficult situation of logistical supply. In other words, the current posture of the Japanese army is to seduce our army.
Take the initiative to go to war. Use the Japanese army's inner line to our army's outer line, lengthen our army's supply line, and shorten your own supply line as much as possible."
"A large number of troops have been deployed on its deep second line, that is, from Taiyuan to Shimen and Zhengding. If our army attacks the eastern front first, the troops deployed on the second line can quickly reinforce it. If we attack the western front first, then
Now the 32nd Division in Taiyuan can also carry out rapid reinforcements. They can even take advantage of the opportunity of our army's external operations to penetrate directly into northern Shanxi from the middle."
"Looking at the current overall situation, if Okamura Neiji takes the opportunity to gather a few divisions currently deployed on the periphery, the possibility of carrying out a large-scale raid on our base areas behind enemy lines does exist. But the possibility of transforming it into actual actions, I always feel
Not too big. Because the raids on base areas behind enemy lines are unlikely to be effective within a short period of time given the capabilities of the customs forces."
"If a mopping up on the scale of last year were launched, the time required would not be wasted by the Japanese army. The war situation is changing rapidly, and it is impossible for Okamura Neji to take the initiative to open up multi-front operations and disperse his own forces at this time. I think the Japanese army
Given the current situation, I’m afraid it’s still limited to supply difficulties.”