If the First Theater Department chooses to send troops to regain eastern Henan at this time, it is not only likely to encounter new reinforcements from the Japanese army, but may even divert the focus of the Japanese army's counterattack from the Anti-Resistance Alliance to themselves. Unless they mobilize
All elites must participate in the war, otherwise they may not succeed in stealing the chicken, but lose the rice instead.
This result is not based on Yang Zhen's own baseless judgment, but based on random guesses and random judgments. Rather, it is a prediction based on the overall battle situation in the entire Asia and Pacific battlefields, the current situation, and possible future developments.
, and the answers obtained from the understanding of Chongqing.
There are currently no major wars in the Southeast Asian battlefields. The American counterattacks are mainly concentrated in the Southwest Pacific and the Central Pacific. In the Southeast Asian battlefields, except for the Indian battlefield and the western Yunnan battlefield, where the war is currently raging, the rest of the battlefields are still raging.
Both the Dutch East Indies and other strategic directions are quite peaceful.
In Southeast Asia, the residents of the former colonies of Britain, France and the Netherlands not only did not regard the Japanese army as invaders, but instead regarded them as liberators. Although it cannot be said that there is no resistance movement of their own, it can be said to be almost negligible and cannot be launched at all.
to any role in containing the Japanese army.
On the contrary, the various so-called armies formed at the opportunity have greatly alleviated the pressure on controlling security in the occupied areas. It can be said that the Japanese troops currently stationed in French Indochina and the Dutch East Indies are among the entire Japanese military system.
It is the most comfortable part of my life and the part with the least military pressure.
Although the North African battlefield has come to an end, the focus of the British troops who have landed in Italy and the elites of the British colonial armies is still the European battlefield. As for some of the elites on the Asian battlefield, they are currently concentrated on the Indian battlefield. As long as India is still there
The British army, which had limited energy on the Asian battlefield, could not take care of Southeast Asia.
The main force of the Australian army is now being restrained back to Australia. As for the US military, in addition to investing a large amount of troops on the Australian battlefield to take care of the Australian army that is insufficient in strength, and deploying some on the Indian battlefield, the rest is still in the Southwest Pacific.
and Central Pacific, slowly playing the tactic of island hopping.
What's more, like the British army, the US military's focus is still on the European battlefield. The current stalemate on the Italian battlefield leaves the Americans with not much energy at all on the Asian battlefield. The stalemate in India is also involved.
The US military has too much energy.
In a short period of time, the U.S. military will not have the ability to attack Southeast Asia, especially the Dutch East Indies, which was the focus of the Japanese military deployment. There are considerable differences between the Asian and European battlefields. The Asian battlefield is dominated by naval forces, while the Pacific battlefield is based on fighting for islands.
War is the main focus, and due to limitations in logistics and battlefield, too many troops cannot be deployed.
On the European battlefield, fighting against the German army, whose strength and equipment far exceeds that of the Japanese Army, is a real head-to-head battle. Therefore, the US Army, which focuses on the European battlefield, will invest very limited troops in the Pacific. The Marine Corps alone will
, is unable to launch attacks from multiple aspects at the same time.
In other words, within a short period of time, the Japanese army can still mobilize a considerable number of troops on the Southeast Asian battlefield. At the same time, as the most important battlefield in China, even if the Japanese base camp is reluctant, it can only try its best to mobilize reinforcements. At least.
It is not too difficult to mobilize two more divisions from the battlefield in Southeast Asia in a short period of time.
What's more, the Japanese army still has a large number of newly formed divisions in its homeland, which have always stayed in the homeland without being deployed on any battlefield. These new divisions can also be deployed on the Chinese battlefield at any time. Previously, the Japanese reinforcements tried to
The landing at Tanggu Port and direct reinforcements to the North China battlefield showed that the Japanese army would not give up reinforcements to the battlefields in mainland China.
Although part of the transport fleet has been sunk in Tanggu Port and most of the first batch of Japanese reinforcements have been sent to the Bohai Dragon King as guests. However, the Japanese army still may not continue to draw reinforcements from the mainland. The reinforcements are now very critical.
North China battlefield. Tanggu Port was blocked, but the Japanese army could still use Qingdao Port.
Judging from the Japanese character of being indomitable and never looking back even after hitting the southern wall, the failure of reinforcements definitely does not mean that they will stop immediately. Reinforcements are still certain, and as the scale of the battlefield in central Hebei continues to expand,
There will be more and more reinforcements.
When the Japanese troops landed in Tanggu and Qinhuangdao, there was no need to think that they were definitely targeting themselves. But once the First War Zone launched a full-scale counterattack in eastern Henan at this time, then when the Japanese reinforcements landed in Qingdao, which direction would they ultimately choose as their target?
I can't say for sure.
If Chongqing chooses to launch a counterattack at this time, it is very likely that what is waiting for them is not the 35th Division, which currently has only part of its strength, but the new reinforcements from the Japanese base camp. And they are recuperating on the battlefield in Southeast Asia.
A long-standing division.
However, Chongqing launched a counterattack at this time. Although it may be full of troubles, it can also help it share part of the pressure. I think the Japanese will definitely not sit idly by when Chongqing regains eastern Henan. Because
Once Yudong is lost, it will trigger a series of chain reactions.
If eastern Henan is lost, northern Henan will definitely be difficult to protect. Once northern and eastern Henan are lost, Chongqing will expand its control area to the Jinpu Railway, so wouldn’t the Japanese army find it difficult to find it themselves? Besides, if northern Henan is lost, no matter how many reinforcements the Japanese army invests in central Hebei,
If there are too many, I am afraid that we will face the danger of being attacked from both sides.
Although the Japanese know the complexity of the Chinese internal problems, and they also know that the cooperation between the two parties on the battlefield is basically zero. But I am afraid that the Japanese will never be stupid enough to attack the Henan-Shandong border in front of the first war zone.
Sit back and wait to enjoy what's available.
The Japanese are not the kind of army that puts their hopes on others. No matter how much they hope that the Chinese will fight a civil war on their own, they will not send the knife handles to Chongqing. What's more, a large number of their troops are deployed in central Hebei, which
At that time, it is even more impossible to send one's butt under the gun of Chongqing.
Once the First Theater really launches a full-scale counterattack into eastern Henan, the Japanese army will definitely invest some troops to fight back. At that time, it will be themselves who will reduce the pressure. And if they can completely solve the Japanese army in eastern Henan and northern Henan, and attract,
Scattered some of the Japanese reinforcements. By the time the war ends on their side, I am afraid that the problem on my side will have been solved long ago.
Therefore, from a military point of view, Yang Zhen did not feel any impact on the chain reaction that might be caused by choosing to strike at a time when most of the Japanese troops in North China were restrained in Jizhong, where Chongqing currently had sufficient strength, and counterattack in eastern Henan.
It's something to worry about. At least he doesn't think it's necessary right now, so there's nothing to worry about if someone takes the initiative to share the pressure.
The most important thing is that as a senior commander who has been fighting on the front line for a long time, he is not very optimistic about the Chongqing operation. In addition to the considerable uncertainty of how much money the Japanese army will ultimately invest in the North China battlefield, Chongqing's internal
There are more problems on its own.
The consecutive defeats after the July 7th Incident were not all due to the inferiority of guns and the inferior quality of the army. A considerable part of it was due to internal reasons in Chongqing. There were too many factions and poor coordination capabilities. Not only did the various miscellaneous armies not only
You must be careful about being used as cannon fodder for others, especially the Central Army, and you must also worry about being disarmed and annexed by friendly forces.
When fighting, I have too many distracting thoughts, and even do not work hard. After a battle, when deploying, you must not only be wary of the Japanese army in front of you, but also be wary of the surrounding Central Army. You must also prevent the troops from being maimed and directly
Being annexed by the Central Army. Under such circumstances, it is strange that the miscellaneous army and the Central Army can have a tacit understanding in terms of combat cooperation.
And not to mention the Central Army and the miscellaneous army being wary of each other, even the so-called Central Army is quite disunified. If nothing else, there are many conflicts between the two commanders and deputy commanders in the current First Theater Command. Above
It's like this. Because the various armies below belong to different factions, there are also barriers between them. The friendly armies are in trouble, and this is not just for the miscellaneous.
Under this situation, even if the brave and capable deputy commander of the Eighth Theater District is added, it will only be one more faction among the already many factions. It cannot be said that there is no improvement in combat effectiveness. I am afraid that this improvement
The intensity will be quite limited.
Although the First War Zone, which has not experienced a major war in two years, is now the most complete war zone among all war zones in Chongqing. In terms of overall equipment, it is also at an above-average level. However, the internal strife and conflicts between
If not, the combat effectiveness will be reduced by at least one-third.
At the same time, the combat effectiveness and equipment of the military divisions under its jurisdiction are also too different, and the strength is too unbalanced. The strong ones are too strong, and the weak ones are too weak. The elite Central Army units under its jurisdiction have good combat effectiveness and equipment, and even
It has reached a level of sophistication that far surpasses those German weapon masters before the war.
However, the equipment of the miscellaneous army is generally very poor, and even the equipment of individual units is extremely poor. There are only a few heavy machine guns. At the same time, the troops of different factions have different qualities of officers and different training methods, resulting in
There is also a huge difference in combat effectiveness. This excessive imbalance naturally affects the deployment of troops and performance on the battlefield.
Coupled with the fact that the two commanders and deputy commanders did not deal with each other and looked down upon each other, the internal discord was further aggravated. Therefore, Yang Zhen believed that although the Chongqing plan was ideal, the reality was cruel and did not
There is nothing to worry about. Even in Yang Zhen's opinion, not only does Chongqing's counterattack have little hope of success, but it is also likely that he will lose his troops if he doesn't do it well.
As for the conspiracy in Chongqing, Yang Zhen left it to the central government to deal with. He did not have the patience, and he did not have the energy to deal with Chongqing at the moment. These matters outside the battlefield should be left to the central government.
Let's deal with it. It would be more appropriate for me to put all my thoughts on the battle that I am currently gambling on.
After sending his views on this matter to the central government, Yang Zhen did not put too much energy into this matter. He still focused his main energy on the Jizhong battlefield, especially on the follow-up troops.
After arriving, the entire Jizhong battlefield was adjusted according to changes in the situation.
As for Chongqing's intervention, let's wait until they actually take over East Henan before considering it. But it is still a bit too early to worry about some of this. The focus of my work now should be on achieving this goal.
The ultimate goal of this battle.
After capturing Jizhong, we can move forward to southern Hebei and completely open up the connection with Shandong and even northern Jiangsu. Even if the first theater regains eastern Henan, there is nothing to worry about. If we can't capture Jizhong, what can we say?
It's no use. Even if I want to worry, I can't worry about anything.