Lin Youde looked at the Balkan Peninsula on the map, and in his mind countless grass and mud horses were galloping past.
"Nah, you guys really hit me as soon as you say it."
Lin Youde originally planned to act as his ambassador of peace, to mediate when the Germans were mediating, to brush up the favorability of world public opinion and then give an explanation to Josephine.
As a result, before he could take action, the Montenegrins gave him a surprise. Lin Youde knew that the first Balkan War in the previous time and space was also the same script. The Montenegrins attacked Albania, and then evolved into a group of juniors beating up the old Ottoman Empire and killing the Turks.
I was beaten so hard that Xiangdu came out, but I didn’t expect this to happen in advance!
Academically speaking, this fully illustrates two things: first, history is inevitable, so the Grand Duchy of Montenegro fought in Albania in both time and space - he only had this one choice, and he also had reasons to do so; second,
Second, this also shows that history is accidental, and some things that are bound to happen will be completely different in detail due to such and such accidental events or butterfly effects.
This is not history. This little girl in turn teased Lin Youde who wanted to play with her.
Lin Youde stood in front of the map, touching his chin in front of his staff, searching for the historical knowledge accumulated in the previous time and space, and deducing the future situation at high speed based on the political situation of this time and space.
After being silent for a while, Lin Youde said: "This is just a trigger. Countries as weak as Montenegro have started to take action. As long as they get some results, Serbia, Bulgaria and Greece will take action. I think they are likely to form a
A Balkan alliance jointly launched a war against the Ottoman Empire. The Ottoman Empire had no way to stop their offensive."
This is mainly an inference based on the unfolding of the last time and space. In the last time and space, the Ottoman Empire was still defeated after more than three years of reforms by the Turkish Youth Party. In this time and space, the reform has not even begun, and the country is still in chaos.
It is even more impossible for the Ottoman Empire to block the joint offensive of Serbia, Bulgaria and Greece. These three countries all have the reason to liberate their compatriots oppressed by the Turks. The morale of the troops driven by nationalism is simply not comparable to Turkey's corrupt army.
"Then," Lin Youde walked to the map, raised his finger and pointed at Berlin all the way to Istanbul. "The Germans finally got permission to extend the railway to the Persian Gulf. This railway will now be cut off by several countries that are not controlled by Germany.
The United Kingdom is likely to intervene in the Balkan Alliance. To achieve the goal of completely cutting off this railway line, they will not let go of such a legal opportunity. This is much more cost-effective than starting a new war in the Persian Gulf. Montenegro's attack
To Moriarty, it should be like a blessing from heaven.
"Berlin will not sit back and watch this railway be cut off. They have changed their current policies and encouraged Vienna to teach these juniors a lesson and open up the railway for themselves."
After Lin Youde's words, his staff nodded repeatedly.
What should I do if I don’t nod? Lin Youde is equivalent to opening a half-god perspective, which of course makes sense. And in the past many years, although Lin Youde’s judgment of the international situation has been played with by the little history girl several times, it is generally accurate.
There are precedents for reference.
Furthermore, Lin Ji's staff had a subtle sense of trust in Lin Youde's judgment, even the strictest Ba.
"Then next," Chen Haihui took over Lin Youde's words, "London will not sit back and watch Vienna defeat the Balkan Alliance. They will put pressure on Vienna and even use some drastic measures. Berlin will retaliate in kind, and it will eventually turn into a European war?
"
The moment the word "European War" came out of Chen Haihui's mouth, the faces of the Europeans in the house became a little gloomy.
Unexpectedly, Lin Youde in front of the map shook his head.
Lin Youde knew a piece of information that most people in the room didn't know at this time - even Victoria didn't know it. The Austrian army couldn't defeat the Balkan nationalists at all.
In the last time and space, Conrad assembled an army that far exceeded the strength of the entire Serbian army several times to attack Serbia, but the Serbs blocked it. Later, Conrad wanted to cause trouble with the Russian army, but was defeated by the Russian army, which was not fully equipped and lacked rifles.
The army was beaten all over the ground - you must know that at almost the same period, Germany used the limited strength of one army group to face two Russian armies in East Prussia, and won an overwhelming victory such as the Battle of Tannenberg. In fact, the Eastern Front
At the beginning, the Russian army was losing troops at an average rate of 230,000 men per month. The prisoners of war captured by the Germans could be queued from Berlin to Hamburg - well, this is an exaggeration.
Just like this, the Russian army immediately became fierce when encountering the Austrian-Hungarian army. They beat the Austrians and Hungarians to the point where they cried for their fathers and mothers.
The Austro-Hungarian army has a huge flaw, that is, the middle and senior officers are very cheating. After the Russian army almost occupied the territory on the Russian side of the Carpathian Mountains, there is an Austrian fortress that is still holding on. This is the Austrian-Hungarian army fighting on the Eastern Front.
It was the brightest battle, and they actually held on for a long time. Later, the Russians finally broke through the fortress and took a look inside. They found that the officers of the Austro-Hungarian Empire were still living like nobles, and their soldiers were all in rags.
Not satisfied.
If we had replaced the Chinese soldiers, they would have cut off the officers with "one eye of the stone man" and rebelled. It's a shame that these Austrians could endure until the Russian army broke through the city.
With such an officer, other matters such as transporting several different specifications of artillery shells in one carriage when new and old artillery are mixed and arranged for supply, are all trivial matters.
In short, there were three wastes in Europe during World War I, namely Italy, Romania and the Austro-Hungarian Empire. The Ottoman Empire, which could be easily bullied by anyone, was not even considered a waste. The strength of the Austro-Hungarian Empire was the result of these three wastes plus one disability.
The strongest.
Because of this, Conrad was in disgrace in Serbia in the last time and space. Several attacks were defeated and he returned. He looked at Belgrade and sighed. In the end, the German army and the Austro-Hungarian army attacked together, and Bulgaria sent troops to destroy Serbia.
Lin Youde felt that the Austro-Hungarian Empire in this time and space was not much better. At least according to the intelligence, a carriage transporting n kinds of artillery shells still existed. It was estimated that it could only defeat a dozen Turkey, and it was impossible to defeat the Balkan Alliance.
Knowing this, Lin Youde disagreed with Chen Haihui's judgment.
"On the contrary, Vienna will be beaten hard by the Balkan Alliance, and the future development will depend on the situation."
In order not to undermine his authority, Lin Youde did not say anything. Anyway, he was watching the excitement from hundreds of thousands of miles away. If a war really broke out, he would sell arms first to make war fortune like the United States, and then in order to protect himself
The investment can be successfully recovered and participate in the war.
"No need to increase our combat readiness level?"
"It's not necessary at all," Lin Youde waved his hand, "The Navy continues to carry out summer and autumn voyage training, and the Marine Corps is preparing for joint military exercises with the Aztecs as planned."
Lin Youde thought for a while and added: "However, Du Qifeng, you start to fine-tune your production capacity and make some preparations in advance. At the same time, reduce Nanyang Bank's lending ratio and increase its reserves."
"clear."
"Then choose a reliable person to serve as a special envoy and travel around the Balkans to express our desire to maintain peace in the Balkans."
"clear."
"Okay, that's it, the meeting is over."
So Lin Youde's senior staff filed out of Lin Youde's office, which was used as a conference room. Only Josephine, Isabella and Xun remained.
"You actually think that a European war is inevitable, right?" Josephine asked Lin Youde.
Lin Youde hesitated for a moment and finally nodded.
"But we can try to postpone it," Lin Youde said, "or reduce the scale of the war and reduce the number of countries participating in the war. My dear, I promised you that you would reduce the losses suffered by your compatriots as much as possible, and I will not break my promise.
.”
"I know," Josephine looked at Lin Youde with a smile, "You are my chosen husband."
"France has been guaranteed," Isabella interjected, "What about Britain? How are you going to reduce the suffering of my compatriots after the European war begins?"
"I promise that I will stand on the side of the Allies." Lin Youde said frankly, "I will fight side by side with Britain and France. But the time to join the war is still uncertain. Before officially joining the war, I will do my best to provide strategic supplies to Britain and France.
.”
"To put it simply, you want to make war fortune."
Lin Youde shrugged, acquiescing. At this time, he read the subtle differences in the expressions on the faces of the British girl and the French girl. So he asked: "It's strange, Isabella, you don't want me to save you as much as possible."
Your compatriots?"
"I hope." Isabella asked strangely, "How could I not hope?"
Then she suddenly woke up, glanced at Josephine and said: "Ah, that's what you mean. Well, I am the queen who rules a country, and Josephine is the knight who protects one side, so we look at the problem from this perspective
It’s different.”
"That's it."
Lin Youde nodded, then he approached the two girls, reached out and took them both into his arms.
"But now you are neither a knight nor a queen. You are all my women."
As he said this, Lin Youde pushed the two of them towards Xun, and the four of them bumped into each other. Lin Youde finally pressed all three girls against the wall at once.
Then Lin Youde stretched out his right hand and brushed his palm across the rows of chests, just like a pianist running his fingers across the keys. The touch of six warm and soft objects came one after another, making Lin Youde feel happy.
"Maybe I can't help the world," Lin Youde said, "but I can still guarantee the personal happiness of you guys."
The three girls looked at each other and smiled. Even Josephine temporarily put aside the worries that had been increasingly bothering her recently and showed Lin Youde a pure and sunny smile.
Lin Youde nodded with satisfaction, and then said: "Let's have a long-lost four horses tonight?"