Fan Hongyu also knew that it was a bit "crazy" to talk about the future Russian president with Mr. Bao and others when the Soviet Union had not yet disintegrated. Leonid was also very disliked in the eyes of traditional politicians.
But this is a fact that is about to happen. As a "foreseeer", Fan Hongyu feels that since he has the opportunity to approach Mr. Bao, a figure in the highest power class who can profoundly affect the overall political situation in the country, he should bring this matter up. As for whether it can have any effect
How effective it is depends on luck.
Of course, Mr. Bao's "evaluation and positioning" of him is also very important. If Mr. Bao only treats him as Bao Xing's "kid", the effect will not be obvious. If Mr. Bao looks at him with admiration, it is another matter.
.
Moreover, a few years later, our country will face huge geopolitical changes. Not only Russia, but also the countries in the entire CIS Central Asia region will have a profound impact on our country's future national strategy.
Influence.
Seeing that Bao Ping'an was disapproving, Fan Hongyu smiled slightly and said: "Uncle Bao, Leonid does have many shortcomings in peaceful times, but it is undeniable that in troubled times, this person has a unique personality charm.
With its huge appeal, it can attract a large number of followers, and it is entirely possible for it to skyrocket."
"Troubled times?"
Bao Ping'an raised his eyebrows slightly and looked at Fan Hongyu with a half-smile.
"Do you think the Soviet Union is in trouble now?"
Mr. Bao's eyes were calm, and he seemed not to be very interested in this answer.
Fan Hongyu said with certainty: "I think the Soviet Union is now in troubled times. At least there are signs of it. After Gorbachev came to power, the reform policy he implemented was a top-down, comprehensive reform plan, and it was not based on
Economic reform is the main focus, and political reform is the main focus. In such a big country, it is an extremely risky behavior to reform the political system from top to bottom."
Bao Ping'an's expression became stern, his eyes flashed, and he said: "Xiao Fan, what you say must be well-founded!"
Although it was a private gathering with no outsiders, Fan Hongyu, a young man, talked wantonly about the policy measures of the top leaders of neighboring countries. He also called them by their first names. There was no sign of respect. In the ears of a powerful person like Bao Ping'an, it was natural that he would
I feel it is very inappropriate. Especially now that our country is undergoing a nationwide major reform, we need to be even more cautious in our words and deeds.
Fan Hongyu has just given birth to a calf, so if you want to keep safe, you can't follow him in "crazy thoughts". It is necessary to give Fan Hongyu a warning.
Don’t get carried away!
Fan Hongyu was not afraid at all. He said loudly: "Uncle Bao, no matter whether it is ancient or modern, Chinese or foreign, any major reform in history must have the most basic prerequisite for success, which is the stability of the political power and the most basic governance system and management system.
Chaos cannot occur. This has been verified by countless historical facts. For example, Japan's Meiji Restoration, the first priority is to deify the Japanese Emperor and make every effort to maintain the imperial power system. Loyalty and belief in the Emperor are instilled in the hearts of every Japanese citizen.
This is the basic premise to ensure the success of the Meiji Restoration. Under this premise, first reform the economic system, end the isolation of the country, and introduce advanced technology and civilization from the outside world. Only then can the country gradually become rich and strong. If Japan's Meiji Restoration
, the emperor was going to be overthrown and everything else would be overthrown. The whole country would be in chaos. Orders would not be implemented and orders would not be implemented. Even the most basic daily management had problems. How could there be any reform? Another example is Shang Yang's reform and Wang Anshi's reform.
The reason why a certain degree of success can be achieved must also ensure the stability of the regime. The absolute dominance of Qin Xiaogong and Song Shenzong cannot be shaken, so as to ensure that various reform measures can be implemented smoothly throughout the country. Without Qin Xiaogong and Song Shenzong,
Support, Shang Yang's reform and Wang Anshi's reform are simply impossible to succeed. But Gorbachev's reform is different. He will break the political system of the Soviet Communist Party from the very beginning, and start reforming from within the Soviet Communist Party. This is
It’s very undesirable and may cause big problems. How can you dig out the roots of a big tree and expect it to bear fruit?”
Bao Ping'an's pupils shrank suddenly, as if he was quite shocked.
A smile flashed across the corner of Mr. Bao's mouth, and he said calmly: "Then tell me, what problems will arise from Gorbachev's reforms?"
Obviously, the old man's heart is far less peaceful than his appearance.
This little fan is becoming more and more interesting, and he is not like the "hairless" brave man they imagined.
"Yes, Grandpa Bao."
Fan Hongyu bowed again and showed great courtesy.
"I believe that Gorbachev's reforms will fundamentally destroy the cornerstone of the Soviet regime. He did not start with economic reforms, but gradually changed the country's economic environment through a step-by-step approach, making the lives of the Soviet people gradually richer.
Instead, it will carry out reforms directly from within the CPSU and fundamentally change the ruling model that has been implemented for decades. In this way, all kinds of suspicions and doubts will spread within the CPSU, and the beliefs of party members and cadres at all levels will be undermined.
If it is shaken, this team will have no fighting capacity. Relying on a political party and political institutions that have begun to fall apart to manage such a large country will definitely cause problems. Let alone promote reforms. According to history, we can analyze that,
Any huge reform will cause earth-shaking changes among the people, especially the people's ideological concepts. When the masses are mobilized, there is no strong organization to lead and guide, leaving all parties to their own devices.
If this new trend of thought spreads, the country will be in chaos. Moreover, the situation of the Soviet Union is even more special. They are an alliance country formed by 15 union republics. There are more than 100 ethnic groups in the territory. There is no strong centralized system. There is no
Without the unanimous loyalty and belief of all citizens, the country will definitely be in chaos. At that time, even if Gorbachev wants to coerce him, he will not be able to do so."
"What will happen after the country is in chaos?"
Mr. Bao stared closely and asked.
"Grandpa Bao, if Gorbachev and the party led by him cannot control the national situation, there will be two situations. One is local separatism and melee. The other is the rise of new political parties and ruling systems to take their place.
.The Romance of the Three Kingdoms said it well, the general trend of the world is that if it unites for a long time, it will divide, and if it divides for a long time, it will unite. Throughout the history of the world's great powers, this is basically the case. In the early days of the Republic of China, the Qing Emperor abdicated and was replaced by Yuan Shikai. Then he went against the grain and died, without power.
Strong centralization of power, chaos in the country, and warlords fighting. We fought for so many years before finally establishing a new country and reunifying the country under the leadership of a great leader. Based on this, I think if Gorbachev
If I continue to act my own way, the Communist Party of the Soviet Union will inevitably disintegrate, the Soviet Union will split, and the various republics will secede and become the territory of the 19th century."
Bao Pingan's eyes suddenly showed shock.
Bao Xing looked at Fan Hongyu, surprised but also very excited. After a period of contact in the military camp, he had already known that Xiao Fan was a person, but he didn't expect him to be so "far-sighted". As for whether Fan Hongyu's words can be fulfilled.
Regardless of it, if you can at least explain this truth, that would be great.
However, Bao Ping'an did not scold Fan Hongyu, but looked at the old man.
Another meaningful smile flashed across the corner of the old man's lips, and he asked: "Then, what will happen?"
Fan Hongyu said: "Then it's the stage for people like Leonid. Talented people have emerged from generation to generation, and each has led the way for hundreds of years."
"So, do you think we should start paying attention to people like Leonid now and try to establish friendship with them as much as possible?"
"Yes, Grandpa Bao. Adding icing on the cake is not as good as giving help when the time is right. Once the Soviet Union really splits, the geopolitics of the world will undergo huge changes. This is our opportunity. Sandwiched between the two superpowers to seek development and prosperity,
It is extremely difficult. When one of them has a problem, our opportunity will come. The energy reserves in Central and North Asia are immeasurable. There are also various political, economic and military cooperations, all of which have great prospects."
Fan Hongyu said, quite confident.
Bao Xing interjected and asked: "Then, how should we operate?"
In his opinion, how difficult is it to carry out diplomacy between countries?
Fan Hongyu laughed, picked up the tea cup, took a sip, and said: "Bao Xing, we don't need to worry about this. Of course, someone with great skills will come forward to operate it."
Mr. Bao laughed heartily, patted the armrest of the sofa, nodded repeatedly, and said: "Okay, okay! Young people should have their own ideas and opinions. This is very good!"
"Yes, thank you Grandpa Bao."
Mr. Bao looked at Fan Hongyu, his eyes full of encouragement: "Hongyu, you surprised me. But I am also very happy. Our country is vigorously promoting young, knowledgeable, cultured and insightful cadres.
Talents like you are needed. Although many of the things you just talked about are just your personal analysis and are still very immature. But if you dare to think about it, it is very good in itself. In the future, we must continue to carry it forward. Of course, when doing specific work
When it comes to business, you should still keep your feet on the ground and not be too ambitious!"
"yes!"
Fan Hongyu replied respectfully, but he was not too humble. Mr. Bao spent his whole life in the military, and his personality was different from that of other founding fathers. Being too cautious in front of him may not necessarily be a good idea.
At that moment, Mr. Bao asked some questions about the situation in the Yanhua area. He was very concerned about the lives of the people in the old revolutionary areas. Fan Hongyu answered them one by one. Although Bao Xing had also served in Yuyang before, the soldiers were very concerned about many local situations.
They don't know as much as government cadres. The old man was very satisfied with Fan Hongyu's answer.
At noon, Fan Hongyu stayed in the courtyard and had Chinese food with the old man, Bao Pingan and others.
ps: Thanks to everyone's kindness, I exceeded 500 monthly tickets yesterday. This is to make up for yesterday's fifth chapter. Today's two chapters are guaranteed to be updated in the afternoon and evening. (To be continued)
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