Fan Hongyu did not sit, stood next to the street model, and looked at it with interest. Due to the environment and traditional education, for a long time, almost every boy in our country had a "hero dream".
The most common game the boys have played is also a game about fighting.
The same goes for Fan Hongyu.
Baoxing explained from the side: "The main combat mission of our guard force is urban protection, and street fighting is the most important training subject."
So he wanted to put a huge street model map in the living room and study it from time to time.
“So exquisite.”
Fan Hongyu nodded with a smile and did not continue to discuss this issue so as not to make things difficult for Baoxing.
All of these involve military secrets.
Fan Hongyu immediately turned around, faced the giant bay military map hanging on the wall, and said, "Brother Bao, it seems that you have put in a lot of effort during this period."
Baoxing did not deny it and nodded with a smile: "Yes, it's not easy to just make this picture. I did it in the Academy of Military Sciences. I have a classmate in the military academy working there."
"So, what's the result of your analysis?"
Baoxing picked up the long whip on the side of the sand tray, pointed to the map on the wall, and said, "You are right. Now the Gulf is a powder barrel, and Iraq's President Saddam is the detonator. This gunpowder
Whether the barrel explodes or not, when it explodes, it depends entirely on whether the detonator explodes..."
Fan Hongyu couldn't help laughing.
The description of Baoxing's "detonator" is very appropriate.
Baoxing continued: "Saddam is a typical man, arrogant and arrogant, as for the extreme. Since he came to power, Iraq has been fighting wars. He fought with Iran for eight years and has not taken up anything.
Cheap. And provoke Israel from time to time and want to be a hero in the Arab world. So I think you are right. Saddam will not be silent, and there will be a big stir."
"Then what big a deal do you think Saddam will cause?"
Fan Hongyu said that it is better to say that it is guiding rather than asking.
Because he had already known what happened, even he knew what Saddam was going to be. At this moment, in Fan Hongyu's eyes, the only one who was still showing off his power in that Gulf country was just a dead for many years
The ghost.
"Foreign war, aggressive war!"
Baoxing said without hesitation.
"What's the reason?"
"Although Saddam engages in extreme rule at home, his dominance is not very stable. Historically, Iraq was a religious country. But the current regime in Iraq is not a regime that combines politics and religion, and its cohesion is insufficient.
M mainly relies on high-pressure policies to maintain rule. The Sunni Muslims in a leading position in the country are relatively small, and the Shiite Muslims have more populations than Sunnis, but they have no leadership status. Religious conflicts and contradictions are very deep. Sada
M has no religious appeal and simply relying on high-pressure policies to maintain his rule will be unstable. Only by constantly launching wars to the outside world can he maintain his power well, clean up those opposition parties in the name of national security, and at the same time shape his
Hero image. So, it depends on who fights and when it will be fought."
Fan Hongyu gave a thumbs up.
These things are a bit similar to common sense to him, but Baoxing can analyze them so clearly and clearly, but it is never simple. After all, it is still the early 1990s, and the public computer network has no trace, and the information channels are extremely closed. Ordinary people
, I can’t even figure out many situations in my country, so where will I pay attention to what state is in Iraq thousands of miles away?
Baoxing made great efforts.
At this time, Tong Yu had already brought the tea out. Seeing that they were both standing, she put the tea on the sand tray and said with a smile: "What are the two brothers studying this? During this period, Baoxing thought about the magic, for a day
I'm fiddling with the Bay things all night long. Why do I think of studying these things?"
"Hongyu told me that there may be a big war in the Bay area. Let me pay attention. After careful study, it is really the case."
"War a big war? They have been fighting. The Iraq-Iraq War lasted for eight years, and it took only two years to calm down. Will the war start again?"
Baoxing shook his head and said, "No. If you continue to fight with Iran, Iraq will not be able to gain any advantage. After eight years of fighting, no winner will be decided. If Saddam still doesn't understand this principle, it would be too stupid."
"Who will you fight with Iran?"
"Here! Kuwait! I think Iraq's next goal is Kuwait!"
Baoxing said with great confidence as he pointed at Kuwait next to Iraq.
Fan Hongyu's eyes suddenly shone.
Last time he mentioned to Baoxing, asking him to pay attention to the situation in the Gulf, but did not tell Baoxing that Iraq would invade Kuwait. This result was completely inferred by Baoxing himself.
Extremely accurate!
It seems that in military terms, Baoxing really has a keen understanding that is far beyond ordinary people.
"Why is Iraq fighting against Kuwait again?"
Tong Yu seemed to be interested and asked.
Of course, such topics cannot be discussed casually in public. After all, they are two sovereign states and are still peaceful now. If it is discussed by ordinary people, it doesn’t matter, no one will care. The key is that Baoxing’s identity is different.
, He is an active-duty officer or a direct descendant of the Bao family, so he must pay attention to the influence.
But it’s okay to chat casually at home.
"They have territorial disputes, and Saddam has always claimed to the outside world that Kuwait is part of Iraq. Although Kuwait has a small land area, it has a very rich oil reserves. If Kuwait is annexed, the benefits will be too great. Especially before
Soon, Iraq called on Gulf countries to reduce crude oil production and increase crude oil prices. Kuwait just opposed it, which instead increased crude oil production and lowered prices. The Iraqi government and people,
Kuwait's opinion on the boss, Saddam used military force to Kuwait at this time, which would best gain the support of the domestic masses. Moreover, although Kuwait is rich, its military power is very weak, and the country's small soldiers are scarce. If it really fights, it will definitely not be an opponent of Iraq. It can be done in a battle with Iraq.
If you decide the universe, you will never have to be like Iran. You will fight for eight years. If I were Saddam, I would have to take action against Kuwait. Other countries will either not be able to fight or are not sure, and it will be thankless to fight."
Fan Hongyu couldn't help but applaud and sighed: "It's totally correct, I fully agree with your opinion, Brother Bao."
Baoxing's face was lustful.
Tong Yuyan smiled and said, "Okay, you guys continue to chat, I'll go and get some hygiene. Alas, remember, don't chat too late, you have to go home for dinner."
It is obviously not sincere enough to entertain Fan Hongyu in the military camp.
"The key is, when will he fight?"
Baoxing seemed to have not heard his wife's words, frowned tightly and said in contemplation.
He has been completely immersed in his analysis and reasoning about the situation in the Gulf.
"Go to fight right away!"
Fan Hongyu said without hesitation.
"I'll fight right away? How can I tell?"
Baoxing suddenly widened his eyes and looked directly at Fan Hongyu.
"Just as you analyzed just now, Saddam will definitely launch a foreign war and will definitely choose Kuwait as the next target of attack. It is better to fight early than to fight late. The war with Iran has been ceased for two years, and you are a military expert.
, I must know that two years have been enough to replace the troops. If you don’t fight now, wait for another year or two, the veterans with rich combat experience in the army will basically be discharged. Of course, as long as the grassroots commanders are not replaced in large quantities
, he can still maintain a certain combat effectiveness, but he is not as good as a unit composed of all veterans. And he is a veteran who has been on the battlefield and has done real swords and guns. So I think Saddam will take action soon."
Fan Hongyu said seriously.
Although he is just explaining a fact that has happened long ago, at least it must make Baoxing sound very reasonable.
Sure enough, Baoxing nodded and said, "This is the reason."
"Okay, now we assume that Iraq will take action soon, and Kuwait will definitely not be able to resist it. It will probably take only a few days to fall..."
"Yes, small countries are like this, without any strategic depth."
"The key question is what will the international community react after Saddam conquered Iraq."
Fan Hongyu further reminded.
"The reaction of the international community? Strong condemnation is certain, but in terms of military matters, this is useless. Saddam is not a person who is afraid of condemnation at all. Such a person started his business through violence and is the only one who believes in it.
It can only be violence. But I think the United States will definitely not sit idly by. If Iraq really occupy Kuwait, the entire Gulf oil-producing country will be under his threat. The United States is the largest oil importer, so it will not be Saskatchewan.
Dam choked his neck and bargained. The Americans are also a powerful and domineering guy. I think they must intervene and send troops."
Fan Hongyu breathed a sigh of relief.
Okay, the purpose of making a special trip here today has been achieved.
Baoxing is worthy of being a military expert. Although he is not as prescient as he is, he can basically see the entire Gulf situation and the possible subsequent situation.
"Brother Bao, it's not too late. I think you should sort out these analysis and inferences immediately and publish them in internal publications as soon as possible. Time is too late. If Saddam takes action immediately, we will be too late. It's not a problem to be in the back of the game.
ah."
"Okay, basically I'm almost ready, just this one is missing. After the battle starts, the reaction of the United States and other Western military powers. Add this one, and that's all."
Baoxing gently threw the instruction whip onto the sand table and said excitedly.
"Well. As for how the military operations will be carried out after the United States intervenes, we can also discuss it. Since it is a prediction, we might as well be more courageous and make a comprehensive prediction..."
Fan Hongyu nodded, also very excited.
PS: Don't tell me about the Gulf War in the real world, this is a virtual world, you know. (To be continued. Please search for Astronomy, novels are better, updated and faster!)