Volume 20 Looking at the World with Cold Eyes, Section 184 Simple and Plain
"But we have to see that this is actually a common problem. The problems we encountered are also encountered by other provinces and cities, and may even be more severe than the situation we face." Lu Weimin introduced calmly: "Secretary Guozhao, you
You can pay attention to Zhejiang Province and Guangdong Province, two major economic provinces, which are also major provinces in the private economy, and then pay attention to the development status of provinces such as Liao Province and Shanxi Province, which have a large proportion of resource-based and state-owned economies. Their situations are actually
Worse than us."
"Oh?" Yin Guozhao became interested, "For the people, please tell me more specifically."
"Well, in fact, an unavoidable reality is that the financial crisis in 2008 has evolved into a global economic crisis. According to the political economics of our time, economic crises are unique products of capitalist society. But with economic globalization, we The country's economy has actually been integrated into the global economy, and economic crises will also occur in our country. The global economic crisis has brought about two major negative effects. One is the shrinking of external demand, including the formation of trade and tariff barriers, which are serious It has squeezed the development space of China's foreign demand-oriented economy, so I think that in the future, the traditional foreign demand industries will shrink. If we don't find a new way out, the situation may become very bad; secondly, the contraction of foreign demand is transmitted, and The bubble in my country's urbanization process will expand, and the surplus of traditional heavy and chemical industries will arrive early. Real estate development will slow down, which will directly affect the sudden stalling of industries including steel, cement, electrolytic aluminum, glass, engineering machinery, chemicals, etc., which will in turn be transmitted to industries such as steel, cement, electrolytic aluminum, glass, engineering machinery, and chemicals. The demand in industries such as coal, petrochemicals, and power generation is shrinking. It can be said that the economic crisis is a direct manifestation of a comprehensive excess of demand. However, due to institutional and traditional reasons in the country, the consumer market, such as elderly care, education, and medical care, has not really achieved the goal. Let the people put down their burdens, so the majority of the people have to save to protect themselves and their families’ future needs, making it impossible to truly release demand in the consumer market, which directly leads to an overall malaise from production to consumption.”
Before Lu Weimin finished speaking, Yin Guozhao frowned. "Weimin, do you think this is an economic crisis, and an economic crisis that our country cannot escape?"
"Well, that's my judgment. No one can escape, and China is no exception. However, the economic crisis is also a cyclical process. Every economic crisis will eliminate many things, and then generate some new things in the recovery. The cycle continues,
This is normal. The key lies in who can take the lead in recovery, who can lead the recovery and become the leader." Lu Weimin nodded, "If the central government does not make great determination to solve the problem through comprehensive reform, then our country will probably suffer a huge economic crisis.
There is a high possibility that the economy will fall into a stagflation stage and fall into the so-called middle country trap. This is a difficult problem that our country will inevitably encounter when going through this stage. Therefore, a courageous and responsible central government is needed to shoulder the responsibility.
This heavy burden. The comprehensive deepening of the reform of state-owned enterprises in 1998 has brought our country a ten-year golden period. I believe that if we can survive this setback, our country's development prospects will be more promising."
The word "comprehensive reform? Comprehensive reform is needed to solve this problem" made Yin Guozhao frown again.
"Well, comprehensive reform can solve this problem faster and better, and can also provide a more solid foundation for our future development. Secretary Guozhao, of course, this is not something that our provincial party committee and government can decide. This is the responsibility of the central government.
, but we have to see the huge crisis we are facing." Lu Weimin nodded.
Lu Weimin's words stirred up a storm in Yin Guozhao's heart. This was no longer alarmist, but a subversion of Yin Guozhao's thinking.
If this came from the mouth of a certain leader of the central government, maybe Yin Guozhao would believe it, but it came from the mouth of his subordinate. It was really a bit difficult for Yin Guozhao to digest for a while.
The economic crisis needs to be solved through comprehensive reforms. This topic is really too big, and even he, a prince, can't bear it. However, Yin Guozhao is not a brainless person, and Lu Weimin's views are not made up out of thin air, but
Reasonable and well-founded. The current international and domestic environment is quite severe, and the situation in Changjiang looks even worse. However, Lu Weimin seems very confident. He named four different major provinces, Zhejiang, Guangdong and Liaoshan. He believes that the situation in Changjiang is worse than this.
Several provinces are even better.
"Our situation in Changjiang can be regarded as a slippery slope. Provinces with large resources and state-owned enterprises like Liaoning and Jin are facing a situation of excess heavy and chemical industries. It will be difficult to get rid of the bad situation in the short term. To reverse the situation, we must not only reform, but also
We need to wait until the global economy recovers. Zhejiang and Guangdong provinces, which mainly rely on the private economy, will be more affected by the shrinking foreign exports. However, these two provinces are more economically active, and it is easier to innovate and make a U-turn. It is estimated that in two to three years
In the end, as long as these two provinces find a path that suits them, they can get rid of the unfavorable situation as soon as possible. What about our Changjiang?" Lu Weimin asked and answered himself: "The situation in Changjiang is somewhere in between. The resources include copper, tungsten, coal, and phosphorus.
, rare earths are all available, but they are not as rich as those in Inner Mongolia and Shanxi. They can be fully supported by selling coal for power generation; state-owned enterprises also have them, but they are much weaker; our private economy has developed rapidly in these golden decades.
, it has also formed some regions with relatively complete and competitive industrial categories; our labor resources are relatively abundant, and compared with coastal areas such as Zhejiang and Guangdong, our labor prices are also relatively advantageous. Therefore, in comparison, we are better than Liao-Jin
These resource-rich provinces have more advantages. Compared with coastal provinces such as Zhejiang and Guangdong, they have some advantages and disadvantages. However, compared with provinces such as Su, Shanghai, and Shandong, and even inland provinces and cities with strong economies such as Sichuan and Chongqing,
We are far worse than all of us, which requires us to make targeted policy adjustments in the next step of work to make up for our own shortcomings and give full play to our own advantages..."
Lu Weimin spoke in detail, and Yin Guozhao also listened attentively. Lu Weimin also began to shift from broader topics to specific ideas in Changjiang: "The situation in Changjiang is more complicated, and the situation is different in different places. Some places are developing well, such as Fengjiang.
Prefectures, Liyang, and Changzhou, but still need to be further consolidated; some places have experienced temporary decline and need to be adjusted, such as Songzhou; some places have a weak foundation and need to further accelerate development, such as Changxi Prefecture; some
Some places have been suffering for too long and are in urgent need of revitalization, such as Quyang and Yishan; other places are in a state of confusion, unable to find how to achieve breakthroughs, and can only drift with the flow, ups and downs, such as Guiping, Puming,
Luomen, Xiliang, Qingxi, and Kunhu are the most typical cities. They were once brilliant, but they were unable to maintain their momentum of development. They fell down after a slight accident. These cities just didn't find their way.
positioning, it has not truly created a leading industry with its own advantages and competitiveness, or these industrial advantages have been replaced by other places in the development process, and then sank..."
Lu Weimin's words won Yin Guozhao's nod of approval.
The last category of cities mentioned by Lu Weimin is the most typical. These cities should be regarded as the backbone of Changjiang. They are medium-sized and have all led the way. However, with the deepening of reform and opening up, the development of these cities has either risen or fallen.
, but in the end they gradually fell behind, and late-developing cities like Fengzhou surpassed these cities and became upstarts. One of the most specific problems faced by these cities is that their own industrial advantages seem to have reached the extreme, and traditional investment promotion methods
It seems difficult to have an effective stimulating effect on the economic development of these cities. Both Lu Weimin and Yin Guozhao are aware of this.
"Weimin, you have said so much, and I basically agree with your opinion. We in Changjiang now have advantages and disadvantages, but when the overall economic situation is declining, how can we achieve self-breakthrough? This question is not
It's easy to do." Yin Guozhao sighed, with a worried look on his face, "What do you think is the crux and what is the key to revitalizing our Changjiang economy?"
This question was a bit big, and Lu Weimin couldn't answer it for a while.
After thinking for a while, Lu Weimin slowly answered: "Secretary Guozhao, I'm afraid if you ask this question to a hundred people, there will be a hundred answers. I am afraid that the situation in different places is not the same, so it would be biased to generalize, but I think
I personally have a view on the key and crux issues you mentioned, that is, whether it is to solve the crux or crux of development, in the final analysis it is still a matter of competitiveness. You have to say that there is no outstanding company in the world.
Of course, a project is impossible without abundant capital. The key is whether you can attract others to come to your place. If you are more competitive, people will naturally be willing to come if they think your conditions are suitable. If they think you are not as good as other places, they will naturally
Just choose another place. This is a very simple and simple truth. It is simple and plain, but it is not easy to do. Now it does not depend on your good infrastructure, preferential policies, cheap land and energy, or even labor force.
If you are rich and cheap, you can easily attract others, especially in some emerging industries and projects with high technological content. They pay more attention to the overall environment. What is the overall environment? What is the core of the overall environment, especially in high-end industries?
In terms of competition, it includes the most basic things I just mentioned, but the core is still a transparent and standardized market competition environment. In short, it is an open, fair and healthy legal environment. This is what high-end industries and high-end people
The most important thing."
Asking for 1,000 recommendation votes! (To be continued.)