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According to Hu Weidong's prediction, in 1939, more than 80% of the tax revenue in the Liberated Areas of the Central Plains will come from cities and towns rather than rural areas (as long as the tax system is not as wrong as in the Ming Dynasty, even before the industrial revolution, the income from industry and commerce will definitely be higher than agriculture, let alone
It is said that the Central Plains Liberated Areas now have some modern industrial foundations.-》), and at the same time because state-owned enterprises occupy the industries in the liberated areas
More than 80% of the total production capacity (and because Sino-German cooperation has brought a large amount of investment, this proportion will continue to rise at least in the next few years.), making the effect of the scissor gap between industry and agriculture even more powerful, so Hu Weidong boldly proposed to the central government
Abolition of agricultural taxes will stimulate the labor enthusiasm of farmers in the liberated areas, win over the hearts and minds of the people across the country, and remove obstacles to the liberation of the country.
However, the Central Committee of the Red Party believes that the war is still going on, and industrial construction is in full swing. Even rural areas are vigorously carrying out farmland water conservancy infrastructure, and money is needed everywhere. Besides, except for the western Henan Industrial Zone and the better economic foundation
In places such as Shanghai and southern Jiangsu, agricultural taxes are still not available for the time being.
It is indispensable, so the conditions for full implementation are not yet available. However, the central government finally agreed to Hu Weidong to trial it in areas with suitable conditions to test the actual impact of tax exemption on fiscal revenue and expenditure. It also provided benefits to liberated areas, even Kuomintang-controlled areas and occupied areas
Farmers in the district have one hope
However, the results of the test were very encouraging to the central leaders. Although the agricultural tax was abolished, it could be balanced by the scissor gap between industry and agriculture, because with the surge in output, the scale effect of fertilizer and pesticide production began to appear.
, the cost will increase significantly in the next few years.
There is room for decline, so the "government" does not even need to raise prices to get more revenue. This approach is more popular with farmers than continuing to collect agricultural taxes while lowering the selling prices of industrial products such as fertilizers and pesticides.
support, although there is not much difference between the two in essence (but careful analysis
In other words, because the phenomenon of local additional taxation has been eliminated from the source, the actual burden on farmers has been reduced.) As long as the "government" of the liberated areas persists in the policy of unified purchasing and marketing, it is completely possible to completely exempt agricultural taxes. However,
, if understood conversely, that is to say only
Only regions that have completed rural cooperativeization can be exempted from agricultural taxes. Therefore, the final exemption of agricultural taxes across the country will not be achieved overnight, but will be implemented gradually. However, this will increase the demonstration effect and at the same time stimulate the enthusiasm of farmers in the newly liberated areas to participate in cooperatives. It can be said that
It kills two birds with one stone.
Compared with industry and agriculture, since the current economic system in the liberated areas is still dominated by the planned economy model, it is obviously impossible for business to receive much attention. However, Hu Weidong still provided certain guidance on the macro level, with the focus on reducing
Minimize logistics and warehousing costs, try to reduce costs and avoid waste. In addition, for daily necessities, the "government" in the liberated areas strictly prohibits hoarding, because the "government" has an alarming amount in its hands.
Therefore, in many business wars such as the "Food War" and the "Cotton War" with speculators, they were victorious. There were countless speculators who went bankrupt and jumped off buildings within a few months.
Prices in the liberated areas have become more stable as a result. The RMB is increasingly accepted by the people in the liberated areas and even outside the liberated areas, although the RMB is only a pure legal tender. No matter how much you hold, you cannot get it to a bank to exchange for gold, silver and foreign exchange [
In fact, strictly speaking, inflation also exists in the liberated areas, but because of the legal currency in the Kuomintang-controlled areas and the military coupons that the Japanese forced people to accept in the occupied areas as negative references, prices appear to be very stable. This kind of inflation in the liberated areas is not natural.
appeared, but it was Hu Weidong’s intention
For this reason, although he is an economic layman, after all, he comes from the 21st century with the information explosion. He knows that as long as the rate of inflation is still within the range that the people can bear, it can stimulate economic development and lead to a general decline in prices.
Deflation is more harmful to the national economy.
The government once encountered this kind of crisis in history. At that time, the main currency prevailing in the domestic market was the silver dollar. Due to the sharp rise in international silver prices, domestic prices generally plummeted. As a result, the products produced by the factories were unable to recover their costs after being sold. Businessmen
They also continued to lose money, but they had to repay the bank loans with silver dollars. For a time, domestic industrial and commercial enterprises closed down one after another, but the bankers made a lot of profits from it. However, once the real economy collapsed, the banks also
It was inevitable to suffer the disaster, and the domestic economic situation was precarious for a while. In order to tide over the crisis, the Nanjing "government" at that time issued legal currency and banned the circulation of silver dollars in the market (in fact, it was not completely banned), because legal currency can be artificially increased by printing more banknotes.
Locally created inflation, so the problem was easily solved. However, after the outbreak of the Anti-Japanese War, the national government's finances were tight and had to desperately run the money printing press to make up for the shortfall. As a result, it fell into a vicious cycle.
And with the lesson of the government’s hyperinflation, the New China government in history could not help but overcorrect. In the 20 to 30 years before the reform and opening up, prices almost did not change, and the people’s sense of security increased, but
China's economic development has inevitably suffered a great burden
Hu Weidong, as a time traveler, will naturally not make this mistake again. He not only explained the rationale to the central and local comrades, but also conducted actual verification in the Central Plains Liberated Areas. The result was that the annual currency rate was 5%-10%.
Stimulated by expansion, the economy of the Liberated Areas of the Central Plains has become increasingly prosperous.
In fact, if this kind of inflation rate is left to future generations, it will definitely arouse the vigilance of the "government". However, in today's China, compared with the soaring prices in the Kuomintang-controlled areas and occupied areas (Note 1), prices in the Liberated Areas of the Central Plains are already very stable.
And as long as the people can accept it, even if inflation is larger, there is no problem at all. Other than that
In addition, the proportion of China's economy in the Liberated Areas of the Central Plains is extremely high. The "government" can raise the wages of most of the urban population with just one word, so the price increase is just that. As for the rural areas, the natural economic component of self-sufficiency is still there.
It's very big, so there's no problem. It's much more convenient than the "government" of later generations.
Note 1: Historically, the price increase in the Kuomintang-controlled areas in the early days of the Anti-Japanese War was not comparable to that during the Liberation War, but it was still possible to at least double it a year, and the Japanese were even more shameful in forcing the Chinese people to accept it in the Japanese-occupied areas.
The worthless and wildly issued military stamps make inflation even more terrifying. Moreover, in this time and space, due to overseas funds being used by those who performed better during the War of Resistance,
The Red Party was divided, the national government's financial situation was worse than in history, and the Japanese, who had suffered consecutive defeats, could only exploit the people in the Japanese-occupied areas more and more cruelly, and the "economic blockade" adopted in the "foreign trade" of the liberated areas
" strategy has made it even worse. Therefore, whether in the Kuomintang-controlled areas or occupied areas, inflation is far more severe than in the same period in history. (To be continued.