Scott stared at Li Zhen with a half-smile, like an old fox.
There was a look of expectation in his eyes.
It was just this situation that made Li Zhen feel like he was facing an exam. Faced with Scott's questions, Li Zhen couldn't refuse, especially since Li Zhen wanted to trick Scott into going to China, so he had to answer.
Li Zhen pondered for a moment and then said: "Time, location, and people are the basis of a battle. In terms of time of day for this battle between the North and the South, the rebellion in the south was launched in March. Although spring has begun, the weather It's getting warmer gradually, but for most parts of the north, it's still cold weather, and there are still ice and snow in many places."
"When launching a war at this time, if the southern army does not go north to fight, it will be okay and will not encounter the cold. But if the southern army enters the north to fight, it will immediately encounter freezing conditions and climate incompatibility. , such a situation is very unfavorable for marching and fighting, especially for the south."
"Therefore, the weather alone has limited the possibility of the southern army attacking the north at this time. In other words, although the south has launched a war and has become openly independent, the north still has enough time to prepare. , there is no fear of rebellion in the south, and the south cannot do anything to the north in a short time, which means that the north can have enough time to prepare for war, complete strategic deployment, and then organize the army to launch a counterattack to reverse the situation."
Li Zhen made a summary and said with a smile: "As for the weather factor, I think the South chose a wrong time. In terms of time, it should be postponed for a month or two. It is undoubtedly most appropriate to start the war when the weather is warm. "
Scott nodded slightly, signaling Li Zhen to continue.
Li Zhen picked up the water glass, took a sip of water to warm his throat, and then continued: "As for the geographical factors, the water system in the south is developed, and the north is dominated by plains, mountains, forests, hills and other geographical environments. The geographical environments of the two sides are very different, forming a Different places have different fighting methods, and the fighting methods in the north cannot be the same as those in the south."
"When southern soldiers enter the north, they must face the warfare methods of the northern plains, either in the mountains and forests, or in the hills, etc. On the plains, the northern cavalry has an absolute advantage; when fighting in the mountains and forests, the northern army has powerful firepower. We can completely rely on the advantages of the terrain to completely block the southern army."
"In other words, the weapon gap between the two sides, coupled with the terrain of the north, as long as the leading generals of the northern army are not full of shit, they can keep the enemy out of the country and intercept the southern army. On the contrary, the northern army Invading the south, with the support of strong firepower, we can enter the south with ease, not affected by geographical factors."
Li Zhen looked calm and said unhurriedly: "The geographical difference between the two sides determines the outcome of both sides. This is also one of the reasons why the north will win. The way the south rebels is wrong from beginning to end, it should not go from south to north. , if it were me, I would definitely adopt the method of inciting rebellion against the northern states, gain the support of the northern states, and then use the power of the northern states to attack the northern army. This is the way to win and not be affected by the terrain. "
Scott frowned slightly and commented: "It's a little far-fetched, but it's correct."
Li Zhen smiled and did not refute.
He changed the subject and began to mention the third point, saying loudly: "The third factor is human factors. As the saying goes, the weather is not as good as the right location, and the geographical convenience is not as good as the people. It means that the favorable timing and climate are not as good as the favorable terrain, and the favorable terrain is not as good as the favorable timing and climate. With the concerted efforts of people, in this war, the factors of time and place combined are not as good as the factors of people."
Scott raised the corners of his mouth and said, "It's interesting, keep talking."
Li Zhen's expression became more and more relaxed, and he gradually relaxed, and said loudly: "I checked the information of the United States Federation. There are currently thirty-three states in the United States Federation, and more than twenty states are on the side of the federation. Only More than ten states participated in the rebellion. As a result, the northern territories accounted for three-quarters of the country and already had an absolute advantage."
“According to recent U.S. federal censuses, there are approximately 21 million people in the North. In addition, foreign immigrants are still pouring into the country, causing the number of people in the North to continue to increase. On the contrary, the population in the South is only 9 About one million, of which slaves accounted for four million, which means that the South's fighting capacity was not strong."
"In terms of human resources, the north has a huge advantage, more than twice that of the south."
"In other words, the number of soldiers recruited by the North far exceeds that of the South."
"There is still a gap between the north and the south. Almost all northerners are opposed to slavery and advocate freedom, so the vast majority of people in the north can support the government and want to solve the slave problem. Similarly, black slaves in the south know that the northern government is for their own good. , will also do their best to help the southern government, and they will also support the federation."
"In this way, the power of the southern government has been weakened again."
Li Zhenkan said with certainty: "The North is united and bent on solving the slave problem, but the slave owners in the South are unpopular, and the slaves will definitely abandon the South. Therefore, the people's support is the general trend of this battle, and those who win the battle will win the battle." There will be plenty of help, but there will be little help for those who are unjust. The government in the north is what the people want, it is the general trend, and it will win without a doubt."
"well,,……"
Scott shook his head slightly and sighed.
Li Zhen asked: "Mr. Scott, why are you sighing?"
Scott nodded and said: "President Lee's analysis is very good, and I agree with it. However, the North still faces one of the most important issues, and that is the issue of slaves. President Lincoln supports the abolition of slavery, but he is a moderate. , we must proceed step by step, but a step-by-step approach will not help this battle."
A look of helplessness appeared in Scott's eyes, and he sighed: "The war with the South should be gradual and not rash. Unfortunately, the government did not adopt it and wanted to solve the battle quickly; slavery needs to cut through the mess quickly and gain the support of the black slaves in the South. , but the government is unwilling to touch it and wants to solve it slowly. It's a pity, it's a pity..."
The old gentleman sighed repeatedly, with crystal tears in his eyes.
Li Zhen comforted him: "Mr. Scott, don't be anxious. The situation is not dangerous yet. Besides, the general who led the army suffered a defeat. The government will naturally change under pressure. If you are worried, you will not be in a hurry. Slowly Waiting is best.”
Scott said: "With President Lee helping us, I believe we will win."
Li Zhen changed the subject and stopped discussing the issue of the Civil War. He said with a smile: "I heard from President Lincoln that Mr. Scott has retired. I don't know what his plans are next."
Scott waved his hand and said: "I am old and no longer useful. Now, I will stay at home to take care of myself, waiting for the rebellion in the south to be put down. I can see the country reunified with my own eyes. I will die without regrets." "
Li Zhen frowned, then quickly recovered, and said calmly: "You must be able to see the peace in the south. For you, I agree with what I said to you before. Although your back is already rickety, you Your hair has turned gray and your cheeks have become wrinkled, but your wisdom has become even brighter."
Scott smiled and said: "The old man likes to hear President Lee's praises, but President Lee must have something to ask for. Let me tell you. If the old man can help, I will do my best."
Li Zhen took a deep breath, and his heart beat faster.
